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Structured factor copula models: Theory, inference and computation

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  • Krupskii, Pavel
  • Joe, Harry

Abstract

In factor copula models for multivariate data, dependence is explained via one or several common factors. These models are flexible in handling tail dependence and asymmetry with parsimonious dependence structures. We propose two structured factor copula models for the case where variables can be split into non-overlapping groups such that there is homogeneous dependence within each group. A typical example of such variables occurs for stock returns from different sectors. The structured models inherit most of dependence properties derived for common factor copula models. With appropriate numerical methods, efficient estimation of dependence parameters is possible for data sets with over 100 variables. We apply the structured factor copula models to analyze a financial data set, and compare with other copula models for tail inference. Using model-based interval estimates, we find that some commonly used risk measures may not be well discriminated by copula models, but tail-weighted dependence measures can discriminate copula models with different dependence and tail properties.

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  • Krupskii, Pavel & Joe, Harry, 2015. "Structured factor copula models: Theory, inference and computation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 53-73.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:138:y:2015:i:c:p:53-73
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmva.2014.11.002
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    2. Damien Ackerer & Thibault Vatter, 2016. "Dependent Defaults and Losses with Factor Copula Models," Papers 1610.03050, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2018.
    3. Sayed H. Kadhem & Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos, 2023. "Bi-factor and Second-Order Copula Models for Item Response Data," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 88(1), pages 132-157, March.
    4. Joe, Harry & Sang, Peijun, 2016. "Multivariate models for dependent clusters of variables with conditional independence given aggregation variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 114-132.
    5. Marius Hofert & Johanna F. Ziegel, 2021. "Matrix-Tilted Archimedean Copulas," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-24, April.
    6. Minoru Tachibana, 2020. "Flight-to-quality in the stock–bond return relation: a regime-switching copula approach," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 34(4), pages 429-470, December.
    7. Mazo, Gildas & Uyttendaele, Nathan, 2016. "Building conditionally dependent parametric one-factor copulas," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2016004, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    8. Krupskii, Pavel & Genton, Marc G., 2019. "A copula model for non-Gaussian multivariate spatial data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 264-277.
    9. Ackerer Damien & Vatter Thibault, 2017. "Dependent defaults and losses with factor copula models," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 375-399, December.
    10. Hua, Lei & Joe, Harry, 2017. "Multivariate dependence modeling based on comonotonic factors," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 317-333.
    11. Kreuzer, Alexander & Czado, Claudia, 2021. "Bayesian inference for a single factor copula stochastic volatility model using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 130-150.
    12. Nguyen, Hoang & Ausín, M. Concepción & Galeano, Pedro, 2020. "Variational inference for high dimensional structured factor copulas," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    13. Marbac, Matthieu & Sedki, Mohammed, 2017. "A family of block-wise one-factor distributions for modeling high-dimensional binary data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 130-145.
    14. Oh, Rosy & Jeong, Himchan & Ahn, Jae Youn & Valdez, Emiliano A., 2021. "A multi-year microlevel collective risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 309-328.
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    16. Perreault, Samuel & Duchesne, Thierry & Nešlehová, Johanna G., 2019. "Detection of block-exchangeable structure in large-scale correlation matrices," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 400-422.
    17. Zheng Wei & Seongyong Kim & Boseung Choi & Daeyoung Kim, 2019. "Multivariate Skew Normal Copula for Asymmetric Dependence: Estimation and Application," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(01), pages 365-387, January.
    18. Benedikt Schamberger & Lutz F. Gruber & Claudia Czado, 2017. "Bayesian Inference for Latent Factor Copulas and Application to Financial Risk Forecasting," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-23, May.
    19. Tachibana, Minoru, 2022. "Safe haven assets for international stock markets: A regime-switching factor copula approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    20. Chen Tong & Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2023. "Characterizing Correlation Matrices that Admit a Clustered Factor Representation," Papers 2308.05895, arXiv.org.
    21. Krupskii, Pavel & Joe, Harry, 2020. "Flexible copula models with dynamic dependence and application to financial data," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 148-167.
    22. Jonas Moss & Steffen Grønneberg, 2023. "Partial Identification of Latent Correlations with Ordinal Data," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 88(1), pages 241-252, March.
    23. Verhoijsen Alex & Krupskiy Pavel, 2022. "Fast inference methods for high-dimensional factor copulas," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 270-289, January.

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