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Labour Market Expectations and Occupational Choice: Evidence from Teaching

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  • Fullard, Joshua

Abstract

This paper investigates why teachers quit. Using new survey data and a modified discrete-choice experiment we find that i) teachers are systematically misinformed about population earnings, and misinformation is correlated with quitting intentions; ii) non-pecuniary factors are the most cost-effective method of reducing teacher attrition; and iii) quitting intentions are more affected by reductions in workplace amenities than symmetric improvements, suggesting preventing cuts is more important than rolling out more generous benefits. Linking our survey data to teachers’ administrative records we show that teachers probabilistic leaving intentions are strong predictors of actual behaviour.

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  • Fullard, Joshua, 2025. "Labour Market Expectations and Occupational Choice: Evidence from Teaching," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:236:y:2025:i:c:s016726812500215x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107096
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    JEL classification:

    • I20 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - General
    • J30 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - General
    • J45 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Public Sector Labor Markets
    • C90 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - General

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