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Trade in nominal assets : Monetary policy, and price level and exchange rate risk

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  • Svensson, Lars E. O.

Abstract

In a previous paper, "Trade in Risky Assets," I have analyzed the pattern of international trade in risky real assets between barter economies, relying on the Law of Comparative Advantage and using autarky asset price differences to predict the pattern of asset trade. In this paper the analysis is extended to international trade in nominal assets (assets with returns paid in currencies) between monetary economies. The risk characteristics of real returns on nominal assets depend on price level and exchange rate risk, and therefore on monetary policy. It is examined how different combinations of monetary policies and exchange rate regimes affect nominal assets' return risk characteristics, their autarky prices, and hence their trade pattern, when countries differ with respect to their outputs or their attitudes towards risk. When world asset markets are incomplete, different monetary policies and exchange rate regimes have dramatic effects on risk characteristics of home and foreign currency bonds and on the trade pattern in these assets, as well as on aggregate capital and current accounts.
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Suggested Citation

  • Svensson, Lars E. O., 1989. "Trade in nominal assets : Monetary policy, and price level and exchange rate risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1-2), pages 1-28, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:inecon:v:26:y:1989:i:1-2:p:1-28
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    Cited by:

    1. De Paoli, Bianca & Küçük-Tuger, Hande & Søndergaard, Jens, 2010. "Monetary policy rules and foreign currency positions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121699, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Vittorio Grilli & Nouriel Roubini, 1989. "Financial Integration, Liquidity and Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 3088, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Lane, Philip R. & Shambaugh, Jay C., 2010. "The long or short of it: Determinants of foreign currency exposure in external balance sheets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 33-44, January.
    4. Bacchetta, Philippe & van Wincoop, Eric, 2000. "Trade in nominal assets and net international capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 55-72, February.
    5. Svensson, Lars E O, 1988. "Trade in Risky Assets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(3), pages 375-394, June.
    6. Bernard Dumas & Marcel R. Savioz, 2020. "A theory of the nominal character of stock securities," Working Papers 2020-03, Swiss National Bank.
    7. Daniel Fried, 2017. "Inflation, Default, and the Currency Composition of Sovereign Debt in Emerging Economies: Working Paper 2017-01," Working Papers 52385, Congressional Budget Office.
    8. Devereux, Michael B. & Saito, Makoto & Yu, Changhua, 2020. "International capital flows, portfolio composition, and the stability of external imbalances," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    9. Soyoung Kim, 2002. "Nominal Revaluation of Cross‐Border Assets, Terms‐of‐Trade Changes, International Portfolio Diversification, and International Risk Sharing," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 69(2), pages 327-344, October.

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