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A theory of the nominal character of stock securities

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  • Bernard Dumas
  • Marcel R. Savioz

Abstract

We construct recursive solutions for, and study the properties of the dynamic equilibrium of an economy with three types of agents: (i) household/investors who supply labor with a finite elasticity, consume a large variety of goods that are not perfect substitutes and trade government bonds; (ii) firms that produce those varieties of goods, receive productivity shocks and set prices in a Calvo manner; (iii) a government that collects an exogenous fiscal surplus and acts mechanically, buying and selling bonds in accordance with a Taylor policy rule based on expected inflation. In this setting we show that stock market returns are much less than one-for-one related to inflation over a one-year holding period, which means that stock securities have a strong nominal character. We also show that their nominal character diminishes as the length of the stock-holding period increases, in accordance with empirical evidence.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernard Dumas & Marcel R. Savioz, 2020. "A theory of the nominal character of stock securities," Working Papers 2020-03, Swiss National Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:snb:snbwpa:2020-03
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock market; monetary policy; inflation-targeting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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