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China's traction battery technology roadmap: Targets, impacts and concerns

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  • Hao, Han
  • Cheng, Xiang
  • Liu, Zongwei
  • Zhao, Fuquan

Abstract

In Oct 2016, China released its most up-to-date traction battery technology roadmap, which reflects the Chinese perspective, or even the global perspective to some extent, on the future technology development of traction batteries. In this paper, the technology targets specified in the technology roadmap, including the energy density, cost, power density, and durability, are reviewed and compared with previous projections from other countries. It is found that China's pre-2020 targets are generally in line with previous projections. The 2020–2030 targets are quite ambitious and aggressive. If the battery technologies evolve as projected, electric vehicles will have similar market competitiveness with conventional vehicles by around 2020, implying a mass market penetration of electric vehicles. This will impose very broad impacts on China's urban environment, oil security, rare metal security, climate change mitigation and charging infrastructure deployment. On the other hand, it should be fully noted that the technology roadmap is more market demand-oriented than technology capacity-oriented. The technology uncertainty issues did not receive adequate emphasis in the technology roadmap, which might result in over-optimism in the future of battery technologies and electric vehicle market penetration.

Suggested Citation

  • Hao, Han & Cheng, Xiang & Liu, Zongwei & Zhao, Fuquan, 2017. "China's traction battery technology roadmap: Targets, impacts and concerns," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 355-358.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:108:y:2017:i:c:p:355-358
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.06.011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hao, Han & Liu, Zongwei & Zhao, Fuquan & Geng, Yong & Sarkis, Joseph, 2017. "Material flow analysis of lithium in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 100-106.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Liu, Sen & Dong, Zhiliang & Ding, Chao & Wang, Tian & Zhang, Yichi, 2020. "Do you need cobalt ore? Estimating potential trade relations through link prediction," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    3. Xu Hao & Yan Zhou & Hewu Wang & Minggao Ouyang, 2020. "Plug-in electric vehicles in China and the USA: a technology and market comparison," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 329-353, March.
    4. Nur Ayeesha Qisteena Muzir & Md. Rayid Hasan Mojumder & Md. Hasanuzzaman & Jeyraj Selvaraj, 2022. "Challenges of Electric Vehicles and Their Prospects in Malaysia: A Comprehensive Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-40, July.
    5. Tian Wu & Bohan Zeng & Yali He & Xin Tian & Xunmin Ou, 2017. "Sustainable Governance for the Opened Electric Vehicle Charging and Upgraded Facilities Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-22, November.
    6. Correa, G. & Muñoz, P.M. & Rodriguez, C.R., 2019. "A comparative energy and environmental analysis of a diesel, hybrid, hydrogen and electric urban bus," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    7. Samaneh Mohebalizadeh & Soroush Ghazinoori, 2021. "Developing a Technology Roadmap for Regenerative Medicine: A Participatory Action Research," Systemic Practice and Action Research, Springer, vol. 34(4), pages 377-397, August.
    8. Zongwei Liu & Xinglong Liu & Han Hao & Fuquan Zhao & Amer Ahmad Amer & Hassan Babiker, 2020. "Research on the Critical Issues for Power Battery Reusing of New Energy Vehicles in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-19, April.

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