An age-cohort simulation model for generating COVID-19 scenarios: A study from Ireland's pandemic response
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2023.08.011
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Lane, David C. & Rouwette, Etiënne A.J.A., 2023. "Towards a behavioural system dynamics: Exploring its scope and delineating its promise," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 306(2), pages 777-794.
- Hazhir Rahmandad & John Sterman, 2022. "Quantifying the COVID‐19 endgame: Is a new normal within reach?," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 38(4), pages 329-353, October.
- Jair Andrade & Jim Duggan, 2021. "A Bayesian approach to calibrate system dynamics models using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 37(4), pages 283-309, October.
- Amy Maxmen, 2021. "Why did the world’s pandemic warning system fail when COVID hit?," Nature, Nature, vol. 589(7843), pages 499-500, January.
- Vincent de Gooyert & Andreas Größler, 2018. "On the differences between theoretical and applied system dynamics modeling," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 34(4), pages 575-583, October.
- Oliva, Rogelio, 2003. "Model calibration as a testing strategy for system dynamics models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 151(3), pages 552-568, December.
- Petra Mlcochova & Steven A. Kemp & Mahesh Shanker Dhar & Guido Papa & Bo Meng & Isabella A. T. M. Ferreira & Rawlings Datir & Dami A. Collier & Anna Albecka & Sujeet Singh & Rajesh Pandey & Jonathan B, 2021. "SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 Delta variant replication and immune evasion," Nature, Nature, vol. 599(7883), pages 114-119, November.
- Hazhir Rahmandad & Tse Yang Lim & John Sterman, 2021. "Behavioral dynamics of COVID‐19: estimating underreporting, multiple waves, and adherence fatigue across 92 nations," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 37(1), pages 5-31, January.
- Lane, David C. & Munro, Eileen & Husemann, Elke, 2016. "Blending systems thinking approaches for organisational analysis: Reviewing child protection in England," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 251(2), pages 613-623.
- Martin Kunc & John Boylan & Said Salhi & Zhe George Zhang, 2023. "Operational Research in times of crisis: Experiences with COVID-19," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 74(2), pages 445-447, February.
- David C. Lane & Jim Duggan, 2020. "Addressing public health and security challenges with system dynamics," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(6), pages 867-874, November.
- Navid Ghaffarzadegan & Hazhir Rahmandad, 2020. "Simulation‐based estimation of the early spread of COVID‐19 in Iran: actual versus confirmed cases," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 36(1), pages 101-129, January.
- Lane, David & Husemann, Elke & Holland, Darren & Khaled, Abdul, 2019. "Understanding foodborne transmission mechanisms for Norovirus: A study for the UK's Food Standards Agency," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 275(2), pages 721-736.
- Hazhir Rahmandad, 2022. "Behavioral responses to risk promote vaccinating high‐contact individuals first," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 38(3), pages 246-263, July.
- Jeroen Struben, 2020. "The coronavirus disease (COVID‐19) pandemic: simulation‐based assessment of outbreak responses and postpeak strategies," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 36(3), pages 247-293, July.
- Joël Mossong & Niel Hens & Mark Jit & Philippe Beutels & Kari Auranen & Rafael Mikolajczyk & Marco Massari & Stefania Salmaso & Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba & Jacco Wallinga & Janneke Heijne & Malgorzata Sa, 2008. "Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 5(3), pages 1-1, March.
- John Sterman, 2018. "System dynamics at sixty: the path forward," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 34(1-2), pages 5-47, January.
- Adam Kucharski, 2022. "Fragmented outbreak data will lead to a repeat of COVID-19," Nature, Nature, vol. 608(7924), pages 649-649, August.
- Negar Darabi & Niyousha Hosseinichimeh, 2020. "System dynamics modeling in health and medicine: a systematic literature review," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 36(1), pages 29-73, January.
- Raquel Viana & Sikhulile Moyo & Daniel G. Amoako & Houriiyah Tegally & Cathrine Scheepers & Christian L. Althaus & Ugochukwu J. Anyaneji & Phillip A. Bester & Maciej F. Boni & Mohammed Chand & Wonderf, 2022. "Rapid epidemic expansion of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in southern Africa," Nature, Nature, vol. 603(7902), pages 679-686, March.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Claudio Thieme & Víctor Giménez & Diego Prior & Emili Tortosa-Ausina, 2023. "Health vs. Wealth: A Cross-country Analysis of Managerial Effectiveness of the COVID-19," Working Papers 2023/10, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
- Pierre Vandenberghe & Luis Manuel Ladeira & Margarida Gil & Ivo Cardoso & Fatima Rato & Jessica S. Hayes & Maire A. Connolly & Jean-Luc Gala, 2024. "Biosafety Issues in Patient Transport during COVID-19: A Case Study on the Portuguese Emergency Services," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 21(1), pages 1-10, January.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Jim Duggan, 2020. "Exploring the opportunity of using machine learning to support the system dynamics method: Comment on the paper by Edali and Yücel," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(6), pages 959-963, November.
- Jair Andrade & Jim Duggan, 2021. "A Bayesian approach to calibrate system dynamics models using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 37(4), pages 283-309, October.
- Claire F. Brereton & Paul Jagals, 2021. "Applications of Systems Science to Understand and Manage Multiple Influences within Children’s Environmental Health in Least Developed Countries: A Causal Loop Diagram Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(6), pages 1-23, March.
- Meriem Bekliz & Kenneth Adea & Pauline Vetter & Christiane S. Eberhardt & Krisztina Hosszu-Fellous & Diem-Lan Vu & Olha Puhach & Manel Essaidi-Laziosi & Sophie Waldvogel-Abramowski & Caroline Stephan , 2022. "Neutralization capacity of antibodies elicited through homologous or heterologous infection or vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 VOCs," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
- Sabah Bushaj & Xuecheng Yin & Arjeta Beqiri & Donald Andrews & İ. Esra Büyüktahtakın, 2023. "A simulation-deep reinforcement learning (SiRL) approach for epidemic control optimization," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 328(1), pages 245-277, September.
- Alberto Sardi & Enrico Sorano, 2019. "Dynamic Performance Management: An Approach for Managing the Common Goods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-22, November.
- Delphine Planas & Isabelle Staropoli & Vincent Michel & Frederic Lemoine & Flora Donati & Matthieu Prot & Francoise Porrot & Florence Guivel-Benhassine & Banujaa Jeyarajah & Angela Brisebarre & Océane, 2024. "Distinct evolution of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB and BA.2.86/JN.1 lineages combining increased fitness and antibody evasion," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-17, December.
- Hazhir Rahmandad & Tse Yang Lim & John Sterman, 2021. "Behavioral dynamics of COVID‐19: estimating underreporting, multiple waves, and adherence fatigue across 92 nations," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 37(1), pages 5-31, January.
- Rogelio Oliva, 2020. "On structural dominance analysis," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 36(1), pages 8-28, January.
- Joel O. Wertheim & Jade C. Wang & Mindy Leelawong & Darren P. Martin & Jennifer L. Havens & Moinuddin A. Chowdhury & Jonathan E. Pekar & Helly Amin & Anthony Arroyo & Gordon A. Awandare & Hoi Yan Chow, 2022. "Detection of SARS-CoV-2 intra-host recombination during superinfection with Alpha and Epsilon variants in New York City," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
- Julia T. Castro & Patrick Azevedo & Marcílio J. Fumagalli & Natalia S. Hojo-Souza & Natalia Salazar & Gregório G. Almeida & Livia I. Oliveira & Lídia Faustino & Lis R. Antonelli & Tomas G. Marçal & Ma, 2022. "Promotion of neutralizing antibody-independent immunity to wild-type and SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern using an RBD-Nucleocapsid fusion protein," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-16, December.
- Cunico, Giovanni & Aivazidou, Eirini & Mollona, Edoardo, 2021. "Building a dynamic theory of citizens’ awareness of European Cohesion Policy interventions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(2), pages 758-773.
- Adam Abdullahi & David Oladele & Michael Owusu & Steven A. Kemp & James Ayorinde & Abideen Salako & Douglas Fink & Fehintola Ige & Isabella A. T. M. Ferreira & Bo Meng & Augustina Angelina Sylverken &, 2022. "SARS-COV-2 antibody responses to AZD1222 vaccination in West Africa," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
- Khairulbahri, Muhamad, 2021. "Lessons learned from three Southeast Asian countries during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(6), pages 1354-1364.
- A. Sardi & E. Sorano, 2021. "Dynamic Performance Management: An Approach for Managing the Common Goods," Papers 2102.04090, arXiv.org.
- John Pastor Ansah & Keith Low Sheng Hng & Salman Ahmad & Cheryl Goh, 2021. "Evaluating the impact of upstream and downstream interventions on chronic kidney disease and dialysis care: a simulation analysis," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 37(1), pages 32-58, January.
- Navid Ghaffarzadegan & Hazhir Rahmandad, 2020. "Simulation‐based estimation of the early spread of COVID‐19 in Iran: actual versus confirmed cases," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 36(1), pages 101-129, January.
- Özge Karanfil & Niyousha Hosseinichimeh & Jim Duggan, 2020. "System dynamics and bio‐medical modeling," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 36(4), pages 389-396, October.
- Jeroen Struben, 2020. "The coronavirus disease (COVID‐19) pandemic: simulation‐based assessment of outbreak responses and postpeak strategies," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 36(3), pages 247-293, July.
- Ichino, Andrea & Favero, Carlo A. & Rustichini, Aldo, 2020. "Restarting the economy while saving lives under Covid-19," CEPR Discussion Papers 14664, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
More about this item
Keywords
System dynamics; OR in government; OR in health services; Decision support systems;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:313:y:2024:i:1:p:343-358. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.