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A two-stage procedure for partially identified models

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  • Kaido, Hiroaki
  • White, Halbert

Abstract

This paper studies a two-stage procedure for estimating partially identified models, based on Chernozhukov, Hong, and Tamer’s (2007) theory of set estimation and inference. We consider the case where a sub-vector of parameters or their identified set can be estimated separately from the rest, possibly subject to a priori restrictions. Our procedure constructs the second-stage set estimator and confidence set by taking appropriate level sets of a criterion function, using a first-stage estimator to impose restrictions on the parameter of interest. We give conditions under which the two-stage set estimator is a set-valued random element that is measurable in an appropriate sense. We also establish the consistency of the two-stage set estimator.

Suggested Citation

  • Kaido, Hiroaki & White, Halbert, 2014. "A two-stage procedure for partially identified models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 5-13.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:182:y:2014:i:1:p:5-13
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.04.004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Maxwell B. Stinchcombe & Halbert White, 1992. "Some Measurability Results for Extrema of Random Functions Over Random Sets," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 59(3), pages 495-514.
    2. Patrick Bajari & C. Lanier Benkard & Jonathan Levin, 2007. "Estimating Dynamic Models of Imperfect Competition," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(5), pages 1331-1370, September.
    3. Federico Ciliberto & Elie Tamer, 2009. "Market Structure and Multiple Equilibria in Airline Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(6), pages 1791-1828, November.
    4. Charles F. Manski & Elie Tamer, 2002. "Inference on Regressions with Interval Data on a Regressor or Outcome," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(2), pages 519-546, March.
    5. John H. Cochrane & Jesus Saa-Requejo, 2000. "Beyond Arbitrage: Good-Deal Asset Price Bounds in Incomplete Markets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 108(1), pages 79-119, February.
    6. White,Halbert, 1996. "Estimation, Inference and Specification Analysis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521574464.
    7. Victor Chernozhukov & Han Hong & Elie Tamer, 2007. "Estimation and Confidence Regions for Parameter Sets in Econometric Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(5), pages 1243-1284, September.
    8. Hiroaki Kaido & Halbert White, 2009. "Inference on Risk-Neutral Measures for Incomplete Markets," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(3), pages 199-246, Summer.
    9. Xiaohong Chen & Elie Tamer & Alexander Torgovitsky, 2011. "Sensitivity Analysis in Semiparametric Likelihood Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1836, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    10. Donald W. K. Andrews & Gustavo Soares, 2010. "Inference for Parameters Defined by Moment Inequalities Using Generalized Moment Selection," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(1), pages 119-157, January.
    11. Andres Santos, 2012. "Inference in Nonparametric Instrumental Variables With Partial Identification," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(1), pages 213-275, January.
    12. Joseph P. Romano & Azeem M. Shaikh, 2010. "Inference for the Identified Set in Partially Identified Econometric Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(1), pages 169-211, January.
    13. Donald W. K. Andrews & Panle Jia Barwick, 2012. "Inference for Parameters Defined by Moment Inequalities: A Recommended Moment Selection Procedure," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(6), pages 2805-2826, November.
    14. Federico A. Bugni & Ivan A. Canay & Patrik Guggenberger, 2012. "Distortions of Asymptotic Confidence Size in Locally Misspecified Moment Inequality Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(4), pages 1741-1768, July.
    15. Federico A. Bugni, 2010. "Bootstrap Inference in Partially Identified Models Defined by Moment Inequalities: Coverage of the Identified Set," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(2), pages 735-753, March.
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    1. Aradillas-López, Andrés & Rosen, Adam M., 2022. "Inference in ordered response games with complete information," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 226(2), pages 451-476.
    2. Vira Semenova, 2018. "Machine Learning for Dynamic Discrete Choice," Papers 1808.02569, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2018.
    3. Semenova, Vira, 2023. "Debiased machine learning of set-identified linear models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1725-1746.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Partial identification; Set estimation; Two-stage estimation; Effros-measurability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General

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