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Contagion in Eurozone sovereign bond markets? The good, the bad and the ugly

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  • Cronin, David
  • Flavin, Thomas J.
  • Sheenan, Lisa

Abstract

We test for contagion between Eurozone bond markets during the sovereign debt crisis. Using a three-regime Markov-switching VAR, we identify two distinct crisis phases (the bad and the ugly) with differing patterns of shock transmission. Evidence of contagion is scant.

Suggested Citation

  • Cronin, David & Flavin, Thomas J. & Sheenan, Lisa, 2016. "Contagion in Eurozone sovereign bond markets? The good, the bad and the ugly," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 5-8.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:143:y:2016:i:c:p:5-8
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.02.031
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    1. Caporin, Massimiliano & Pelizzon, Loriana & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Rigobon, Roberto, 2018. "Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 150-181.
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    Cited by:

    1. David Cronin & Peter Dunne & Kieran McQuinn, 2019. "Have Irish Sovereign Bonds Decoupled from the Euro Area Periphery, and Why?," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(3), pages 529-556.
    2. Flavin, Thomas J. & Lagoa-Varela, Dolores, 2021. "On the stability of stock-bond comovements across market conditions in the Eurozone periphery," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    3. David Cronin & Peter Dunne, 2019. "Have Sovereign Bond Market Relationships Changed in the Euro Area? Evidence from Italy," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 54(4), pages 250-258, July.
    4. Garcia-de-Andoain, Carlos & Kremer, Manfred, 2017. "Beyond spreads: Measuring sovereign market stress in the euro area," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 153-156.
    5. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Longin, François, 2018. "Financial market activity under capital controls: Lessons from extreme events," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 10-13.
    6. Dirceu Pereira, 2018. "Financial Contagion in the BRICS Stock Markets: An empirical analysis of the Lehman Brothers Collapse and European Sovereign Debt Crisis," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 2(1), pages 1-44.
    7. António Afonso & Mina Kazemi, 2018. "Sovereign Bond Yields Spreads Spillovers in the EMU," Working Papers REM 2018/52, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    8. amri amamou, souhir & hellara, slaheddine, 2021. "The dynamic relationship between the sovereign CDS market and the Eurozone sovereign bond market (classified by maturity): Contagion or Spillovers?," MPRA Paper 109038, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. T. Flavin & M.Dongey & L. Sheenan, 2020. "Banks and Sovereigns: Did adversity bring them closer?," Economics Department Working Paper Series n307-20.pdf, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    10. Thomas J.Flavin & Dolores Lagoa-Varela, 2019. "On the stability of Stock-bond comovements across market conditions in the Eurozone periphery," Economics Department Working Paper Series n295-19.pdf, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    11. Babalos, Vassilios & Stavroyiannis, Stavros, 2017. "Modelling correlation dynamics of EMU sovereign debt markets during the recent turmoil," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1021-1029.
    12. David Cronin, 2020. "Are Member States’ Budgetary Policies Adhering to the EU Fiscal Rules?," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 66(1), pages 47-64.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Eurozone sovereign bond crisis; Contagion; Interdependence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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