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The probability premium: A graphical representation

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  • Eeckhoudt, Louis R.
  • Laeven, Roger J.A.

Abstract

We illustrate that Pratt’s probability premium can be given a simple graphical representation allowing a direct comparison to the equivalent but more prevalent concept of risk premium under expected utility. We also show that the probability premium’s graphical representation under the dual theory mimics that of the risk premium under expected utility.

Suggested Citation

  • Eeckhoudt, Louis R. & Laeven, Roger J.A., 2015. "The probability premium: A graphical representation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 39-41.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:136:y:2015:i:c:p:39-41
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.08.029
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Eeckhoudt, Louis & Schlesinger, Harris, 2009. "On the utility premium of Friedman and Savage," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 46-48, October.
    2. Yaari, Menahem E, 1987. "The Dual Theory of Choice under Risk," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(1), pages 95-115, January.
    3. Hong, Chew Soo & Karni, Edi & Safra, Zvi, 1987. "Risk aversion in the theory of expected utility with rank dependent probabilities," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 370-381, August.
    4. Huang, James & Stapleton, Richard, 2015. "The utility premium of Friedman and Savage, comparative risk aversion, and comparative prudence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 34-36.
    5. Quiggin, John, 1982. "A theory of anticipated utility," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 323-343, December.
    6. Liu, Liqun & Meyer, Jack, 2013. "Substituting one risk increase for another: A method for measuring risk aversion," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 148(6), pages 2706-2718.
    7. Milton Friedman & L. J. Savage, 1948. "The Utility Analysis of Choices Involving Risk," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 56, pages 279-279.
    8. Jindapon, Paan, 2010. "Prudence probability premium," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 34-37, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Louis R. Eeckhoudt & Roger J. A. Laeven, 2021. "Probability Premium and Attitude Towards Probability," Papers 2105.00054, arXiv.org.
    2. Liqun Liu & William S. Neilson, 2019. "Alternative Approaches to Comparative n th-Degree Risk Aversion," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(8), pages 3824-3834, August.
    3. Herz, Benedikt & Mejer, Malwina, 2021. "The effect of design protection on price and price dispersion: Evidence from automotive spare parts," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Louis R. Eeckhoudt & Roger J. A. Laeven, 2015. "Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large under Rank-Dependent Utility," Papers 1512.08037, arXiv.org.
    5. Van Klyton, Aaron & Castaño-Muñoz, Wilson, 2017. "Local information services in Medellin: Technology, institutions, communities and power," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 20-30.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk premium; Probability premium; Expected utility; Dual theory; Risk aversion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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