IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v322y2022ics0306261922007711.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Deep learning and physics-based modeling for the optimization of ice-based thermal energy systems in cooling plants

Author

Listed:
  • Jia, Lizhi
  • Liu, Junjie
  • Chong, Adrian
  • Dai, Xilei

Abstract

Renewable energy usage is continuing to increase as many countries worldwide are aiming to reach peak carbon emission and achieve carbon neutrality in the near future. One inherent problem with renewable energy is that its generation profile does not often fit well with the electricity usage profile. Therefore, it is of utmost importance that terminal users help to adjust the usage profile. Thermal energy storage (TES) systems have become an important means of adjusting the electricity usage profile of buildings. The operation strategy for TES must be carefully optimized to maximize its economic profile. To this end, we developed a framework for TES operation strategy optimization by integrating deep learning and physics-based modeling. The deep learning model, an attention-based dual-gated recurrent unit (A-dGRU) network, can learn the cooling load change trends from historical data and achieve state-of-the-art performance in hourly cooling load prediction for the next day with a coefficient of variation of the root mean square error of 0.08. For the TES modeling, we took the nonlinear change in the ice-charging rate into consideration based on the heat-transfer model; this change has often been ignored in previous studies. The high prediction accuracy and reliability of the TES model guarantee that the optimal strategy can be achieved by the framework. Compared to the basic TES operation strategy, we confirmed that the optimal operation strategy can further increase the cost savings by 11.2% for the entire ice-cooling season. In summary, the framework proposed in this study performs well in reducing the operation cost of a cooling plant based on the current electricity price tariff. The framework is expected to help the grid fit the electricity generation and usage profile.

Suggested Citation

  • Jia, Lizhi & Liu, Junjie & Chong, Adrian & Dai, Xilei, 2022. "Deep learning and physics-based modeling for the optimization of ice-based thermal energy systems in cooling plants," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:322:y:2022:i:c:s0306261922007711
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119443
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261922007711
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119443?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Candanedo, J.A. & Dehkordi, V.R. & Stylianou, M., 2013. "Model-based predictive control of an ice storage device in a building cooling system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 1032-1045.
    2. Fan, Cheng & Xiao, Fu & Zhao, Yang, 2017. "A short-term building cooling load prediction method using deep learning algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 222-233.
    3. Wang, Zhe & Hong, Tianzhen & Piette, Mary Ann, 2020. "Building thermal load prediction through shallow machine learning and deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    4. Hussain, Syed Asad & Huang, Gongsheng & Yuen, Richard Kwok Kit & Wang, Wei, 2020. "Adaptive regression model-based real-time optimal control of central air-conditioning systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    5. Li, Qiong & Meng, Qinglin & Cai, Jiejin & Yoshino, Hiroshi & Mochida, Akashi, 2009. "Applying support vector machine to predict hourly cooling load in the building," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(10), pages 2249-2256, October.
    6. Li, Ao & Xiao, Fu & Zhang, Chong & Fan, Cheng, 2021. "Attention-based interpretable neural network for building cooling load prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    7. Yang, Liu & Yan, Haiyan & Lam, Joseph C., 2014. "Thermal comfort and building energy consumption implications – A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 164-173.
    8. Cox, Sam J. & Kim, Dongsu & Cho, Heejin & Mago, Pedro, 2019. "Real time optimal control of district cooling system with thermal energy storage using neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 466-480.
    9. Ruan, Yingjun & Liu, Qingrong & Li, Zhengwei & Wu, Jiazheng, 2016. "Optimization and analysis of Building Combined Cooling, Heating and Power (BCHP) plants with chilled ice thermal storage system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 738-754.
    10. Powell, Kody M. & Cole, Wesley J. & Ekarika, Udememfon F. & Edgar, Thomas F., 2013. "Optimal chiller loading in a district cooling system with thermal energy storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 445-453.
    11. Li, Fengyun & Zheng, Haofeng & Li, Xingmei & Yang, Fei, 2021. "Day-ahead city natural gas load forecasting based on decomposition-fusion technique and diversified ensemble learning model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    12. Fan, Cheng & Wang, Jiayuan & Gang, Wenjie & Li, Shenghan, 2019. "Assessment of deep recurrent neural network-based strategies for short-term building energy predictions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 700-710.
    13. Luo, Na & Hong, Tianzhen & Li, Hui & Jia, Ruoxi & Weng, Wenguo, 2017. "Data analytics and optimization of an ice-based energy storage system for commercial buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 459-475.
    14. Heine, Karl & Tabares-Velasco, Paulo Cesar & Deru, Michael, 2021. "Design and dispatch optimization of packaged ice storage systems within a connected community," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cao, Hui & Lin, Jiajing & Li, Nan, 2023. "Optimal control and energy efficiency evaluation of district ice storage system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cao, Hui & Lin, Jiajing & Li, Nan, 2023. "Optimal control and energy efficiency evaluation of district ice storage system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    2. Wang, Zhe & Hong, Tianzhen & Piette, Mary Ann, 2019. "Data fusion in predicting internal heat gains for office buildings through a deep learning approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 386-398.
    3. Adam Kula & Albert Smalcerz & Maciej Sajkowski & Zygmunt Kamiński, 2021. "Analysis of Office Rooms Energy Consumption Data in Respect to Meteorological and Direct Sun Exposure Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-20, November.
    4. Liu, Jiangyan & Zhang, Qing & Dong, Zhenxiang & Li, Xin & Li, Guannan & Xie, Yi & Li, Kuining, 2021. "Quantitative evaluation of the building energy performance based on short-term energy predictions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    5. Wang, Ran & Lu, Shilei & Feng, Wei, 2020. "A novel improved model for building energy consumption prediction based on model integration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    6. Zou, Wenke & Sun, Yongjun & Gao, Dian-ce & Zhang, Xu, 2023. "Globally optimal control of hybrid chilled water plants integrated with small-scale thermal energy storage for energy-efficient operation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PA).
    7. Luo, Na & Hong, Tianzhen & Li, Hui & Jia, Ruoxi & Weng, Wenguo, 2017. "Data analytics and optimization of an ice-based energy storage system for commercial buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 459-475.
    8. Venkatraj, V. & Dixit, M.K., 2022. "Challenges in implementing data-driven approaches for building life cycle energy assessment: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    9. Li, Guannan & Li, Fan & Ahmad, Tanveer & Liu, Jiangyan & Li, Tao & Fang, Xi & Wu, Yubei, 2022. "Performance evaluation of sequence-to-sequence-Attention model for short-term multi-step ahead building energy predictions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    10. Jason Runge & Radu Zmeureanu, 2021. "A Review of Deep Learning Techniques for Forecasting Energy Use in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-26, January.
    11. Chen, Zhiwen & Deng, Qiao & Ren, Hao & Zhao, Zhengrun & Peng, Tao & Yang, Chunhua & Gui, Weihua, 2022. "A new energy consumption prediction method for chillers based on GraphSAGE by combining empirical knowledge and operating data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    12. Fanghan Su & Zhiyuan Wang & Yue Yuan & Chengcheng Song & Kejun Zeng & Yixing Chen & Rongpeng Zhang, 2023. "Enhanced Operation of Ice Storage System for Peak Load Management in Shopping Malls across Diverse Climate Zones," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-23, October.
    13. Mateo Jesper & Felix Pag & Klaus Vajen & Ulrike Jordan, 2022. "Heat Load Profiles in Industry and the Tertiary Sector: Correlation with Electricity Consumption and Ex Post Modeling," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-32, March.
    14. Wang, Zhe & Hong, Tianzhen & Piette, Mary Ann, 2020. "Building thermal load prediction through shallow machine learning and deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    15. Fan, Cheng & Sun, Yongjun & Zhao, Yang & Song, Mengjie & Wang, Jiayuan, 2019. "Deep learning-based feature engineering methods for improved building energy prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 35-45.
    16. He, Zhaoyu & Guo, Weimin & Zhang, Peng, 2022. "Performance prediction, optimal design and operational control of thermal energy storage using artificial intelligence methods," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    17. Fu, Chun & Miller, Clayton, 2022. "Using Google Trends as a proxy for occupant behavior to predict building energy consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    18. Saima Akhtar & Sulman Shahzad & Asad Zaheer & Hafiz Sami Ullah & Heybet Kilic & Radomir Gono & Michał Jasiński & Zbigniew Leonowicz, 2023. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Models: A Review of Challenges, Progress, and the Road Ahead," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-29, May.
    19. Fan, Cheng & Sun, Yongjun & Xiao, Fu & Ma, Jie & Lee, Dasheng & Wang, Jiayuan & Tseng, Yen Chieh, 2020. "Statistical investigations of transfer learning-based methodology for short-term building energy predictions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    20. Wei, Ziqing & Zhang, Tingwei & Yue, Bao & Ding, Yunxiao & Xiao, Ran & Wang, Ruzhu & Zhai, Xiaoqiang, 2021. "Prediction of residential district heating load based on machine learning: A case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:322:y:2022:i:c:s0306261922007711. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.