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Dynamic M&A strategy: Modeling optimal acquisition timing using Brownian motion

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  • Yuta Motoyama

    (Goto Chuo Hospital)

Abstract

This paper investigates the optimal strategy for mergers and acquisitions (M&A) within corporate finance. We assume that two role model companies significantly influence the effort levels of other companies. As the effort level affects a company's future rate of return, we model this rate using Brownian motion to determine the optimal timing for M&A. Through this approach, we derive the optimal M&A strategy, specifying when and how much to acquire. Two illustrative examples are provided to demonstrate constructive acquisition strategies. This research contributes to the literature by offering a theoretical framework that optimizes M&A strategy, particularly regarding acquisition timing and scale, in a stochastic environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuta Motoyama, 2025. "Dynamic M&A strategy: Modeling optimal acquisition timing using Brownian motion," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 45(2), pages 885-895.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-24-00502
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    JEL classification:

    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling

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