IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-14-00958.html

Monetary policy rule under financial deregulation in China

Author

Listed:
  • Yucheng Cai

    (Saitama University, Japan)

  • Hiroyuki Taguchi

    (Saitama University, Japan)

Abstract

This paper examines the monetary policy rule in practice for China during the period from 1998Q1 to 2014Q2 by applying the Taylor rule and by estimating policy reaction functions. The analysis would be significant since during that period the monetary-policy instruments and targets have been more market-oriented in accordance with the progress in financial deregulation. The findings can be summarized as follows. First, the recent policy rule since 2003 has become synchronizing with the Taylor rule. Second, the response of policy-target interest rate to inflation, though identified in policy reaction functions, has been weak enough to accommodate changes in inflation, probably because the excess-reserve operation as another policy-target has worked together to respond to inflation. Third, the response to output gap has been robust in the backward-looking specification. Fourth, the response to exchange rate has been insignificant probably due to imperfect capital mobility and an increase in exchange rate flexibility.

Suggested Citation

  • Yucheng Cai & Hiroyuki Taguchi, 2015. "Monetary policy rule under financial deregulation in China," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(1), pages 122-132.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-14-00958
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2015/Volume35/EB-15-V35-I1-P14.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Chizuru Kato, 2011. "Assessing the performance of inflation targeting in East Asian economies," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 25(1), pages 93-102, May.
    2. Barry Eichengreen, 2006. "Can Emerging Markets Float? Should They Inflation Target?," Chapters, in: Matías Vernengo (ed.), Monetary Integration and Dollarization, chapter 8, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Clarida, Richard & Gali, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1998. "Monetary policy rules in practice Some international evidence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 1033-1067, June.
    4. Soyoung Kim & Yung Chul Park, 2006. "Inflation targeting in Korea: a model of success?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy in Asia: approaches and implementation, volume 31, pages 140-164, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Richard H. Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1998. "Monetary policy rules in practice," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liu Kerry, 2019. "Some Preliminary Evidence on China’s New Monetary Policy Tool: The Standing Lending Facility," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 70(2), pages 137-155, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2018. "Monetary policy rule under inflation targeting: the case of Mongolia," MPRA Paper 86132, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Woong-Ki Sohn, 2014. "Inflation Targeting and the Pass-through Rate in East Asian Economies," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 28(2), pages 139-159, June.
    3. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Kenichi Tamegawa & Mesa Wanasilp, 2020. "Taylor Principle under Inflation Targeting in Emerging ASEAN Economies: GMM and DSGE Approaches," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 35-47.
    4. repec:udc:esteco:v:44:y:2017:i:2:p:97-124 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2020. "Monetary Policy Rule and Taylor Principle in Emerging ASEAN Economies: GMM and DSGE Approaches," MPRA Paper 100847, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Taguchi, Hiroyuki & Kato, Chizuru, 2011. "東アジア諸国のインフレターゲットと日本への示唆 [Inflation targeting in east Asia economies and its implication to Japan]," MPRA Paper 64407, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2020. "Monetary Policy Rule and Taylor Principle by GMM and DSGE Approaches: The Case of Mongolia," MPRA Paper 104182, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Taguchi, Hiroyuki & Wanasilp, Mesa, 2017. "Monetary policy rule and its performance under inflation targeting: the evidence of Thailand," MPRA Paper 83544, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Ganbayar Gunbileg, 2020. "Monetary Policy Rule and Taylor Principle in Mongolia: GMM and DSGE Approaches," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-16, November.
    10. Andrea Ferrero & Mark Gertler & Lars E. O. Svensson, 2007. "Current Account Dynamics and Monetary Policy," NBER Chapters, in: International Dimensions of Monetary Policy, pages 199-244, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Karsten Ruth, 2007. "Interest rate reaction functions for the euro area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 541-569, November.
    12. Délèze, Frédéric & Korkeamäki, Timo, 2018. "Interest rate risk management with debt issues: Evidence from Europe," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 1-11.
    13. Clémentine Florens & Eric Jondeau & Hervé Le Bihan, 2001. "Assessing GMM Estimates of the Federal Reserve Reaction Function," Econometrics 0111003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Thomas Le Barbanchon & Olivier Simon, 2012. "Les marchés du travail français et américain face aux chocs conjoncturels des années 1986 à 2007 : une modélisation DSGE," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 451(1), pages 69-90.
    15. Friedrich Heinemann & Felix P. Huefner, 2004. "Is The View From The Eurotower Purely European? – National Divergence And Ecb Interest Rate Policy," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 51(4), pages 544-558, September.
    16. Shigeto Kitano & Kenya Takaku, 2015. "Monetary policy, incomplete asset markets, and welfare in a small open economy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(1), pages 112-121.
    17. Zhang, Chengsi & Dang, Chao, 2018. "Is monetary policy forward-looking in China?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 4-14.
    18. Hans Dewachter & Marco Lyrio & Konstantijn Maes, 2006. "A joint model for the term structure of interest rates and the macroeconomy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 439-462, May.
    19. Castro, Vitor, "undated". "Are Central Banks following a linear or nonlinear (augmented) Taylor rule?," Economic Research Papers 269883, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    20. Deming Luo & Stephen Ferris, 2008. "Optimal Simple Monetary Policy Rules in a Small Open Economy with Exchange Rate Imperfections," Carleton Economic Papers 08-03, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
    21. Joseph Djivre & Sigal Ribon, 2000. "Monetary Policy, the Output Gap and Inflation: A Closer Look at the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Israel 1989-1999," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2000.09, Bank of Israel.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • O5 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-14-00958. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: John P. Conley (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.