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Financial Globalization And Inflation In Developing Countries: A Reappraisal

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  • William MILES

Abstract

A number of economists have stated, and two recent empirical studies have suggested, that financial globalization should exert a positive effect on macroeconomic outcomes in general and inflation in particular. We re-examine the impact of such openness on inflation by exploiting a recent index of capital controls which improves on previous binary measures. In addition, we include one key variable missing from the previous studies-money growth. We find, as did the previous studies, that in the absence of money growth financial (and trade) openness appear to lower inflation. However, once previous money growth is taken into account, financial (and even a proxy for trade) openness exerts no significant effect at all on inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • William MILES, 2011. "Financial Globalization And Inflation In Developing Countries: A Reappraisal," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 11(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:11:y:2011:i:1_2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Francisco Rodríguez & Dani Rodrik, 2001. "Trade Policy and Economic Growth: A Skeptic's Guide to the Cross-National Evidence," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, pages 261-338, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Dani Rodrik & Arvind Subramanian, 2009. "Why Did Financial Globalization Disappoint?," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 56(1), pages 112-138, April.
    5. Michael Bleaney & Manuela Francisco, 2005. "Exchange rate regimes and inflation: only hard pegs make a difference," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(4), pages 1453-1471, November.
    6. William Miles, 2008. "Exchange rates, inflation and growth in small, open economies: a difference-in-differences approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 341-348.
    7. Hossain, A., 2005. "The Sources and Dynamics of Inflation in Indonesia: An ECM Model Estimation for 1952-2002," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 5(4).
    8. Bildirici, E. & Cosar, N., 2006. "Inflation and Disinflation Policy in Turkey Between 1974-2002: LSTVAR Analysis," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(2).
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    Cited by:

    1. POPKOVA, Elena, 2014. "New Prospects Of Economic Growth In Context Of Underdevelopment Whirlpools Phenomena," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 14(1), pages 5-20.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital Account; Inflation;

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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