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Can Transition Dynamics Explain The International Output Data?

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  • PAPAGEORGIOU, CHRIS
  • PEREZ-SEBASTIAN, FIDEL

Abstract

This paper studies the transition dynamics predictions of an R&D-based growth model, and evaluates their performance in explaining income disparities across nations. We find that the fraction of the observed cross-country income variation explained by the transitional dynamics of the model is as large as the one accounted for by existing steady-state level regressions. Our results suggest that the traditional view of a world in which nations move along their distinct balanced-growth paths is as likely as the one in which countries move along adjustment paths toward a common (very long run) steady state.

Suggested Citation

  • Papageorgiou, Chris & Perez-Sebastian, Fidel, 2004. "Can Transition Dynamics Explain The International Output Data?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(4), pages 466-492, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:8:y:2004:i:04:p:466-492_03
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    Cited by:

    1. Chris Papageorgiou & Fidel Pérez Sebastián, 2005. "Is The Speed Of Convergence A Good Proxy For The Transitional Growth Path?," Working Papers. Serie AD 2005-33, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
    2. Oscar Afonso, 2010. "Non‐Scale Effects Of International Technological‐Knowledge Diffusion On Southern Growth And Wages," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 61(3), pages 341-366, September.
    3. Dolores Guilló, María & Papageorgiou, Chris & Perez-Sebastian, Fidel, 2011. "A unified theory of structural change," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 1393-1404, September.
    4. Holmes, Mark J. & Otero, Jesús & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2014. "A Note On The Extent Of U.S. Regional Income Convergence," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(7), pages 1635-1655, October.
    5. Chris Papageorgiou & Fidel Perez-Sebastian, 2007. "Is the Asymptotic Speed of Convergence a Good Proxy for the Transitional Growth Path?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(1), pages 1-24, February.
    6. Ang, James B., 2010. "Research, technological change and financial liberalization in South Korea," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 457-468, March.

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