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Debt Stabilization In A Non-Ricardian Economy

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  • Leith, Campbell
  • Moldovan, Ioana
  • Wren-Lewis, Simon

Abstract

In models with a representative infinitely lived household, tax smoothing implies that the steady state of government debt should follow a random walk. This is unlikely to be the case in overlapping generations (OLG) economies, where the equilibrium interest rate may differ from the policy maker's rate of time preference. It may therefore be optimal to reduce debt today to reduce distortionary taxation in the future. In addition, the level of the capital stock in these economies is likely to be suboptimally low, and reducing government debt will crowd in additional capital. Using a version of the Blanchard-Yaari model of perpetual youth, with both public and private capital, we show that it is optimal in steady state for the government to hold assets. However, we also show how and why this level of government assets can fall short of both the level of debt that achieves the optimal capital stock and the level that eliminates income taxes. Finally, we compute the optimal adjustment path to this steady state.

Suggested Citation

  • Leith, Campbell & Moldovan, Ioana & Wren-Lewis, Simon, 2019. "Debt Stabilization In A Non-Ricardian Economy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(6), pages 2509-2543, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:23:y:2019:i:06:p:2509-2543_00
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Secular stagnation and computers
      by Mainly Macro in Mainly Macro on 2014-12-02 19:21:00
    2. The long run government debt target
      by Mainly Macro in Mainly Macro on 2013-01-12 00:11:00
    3. Optimal Debt Policy for Ireland (Warning: Wonkish)
      by John McHale in The Irish Economy on 2013-02-13 04:22:43

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    Cited by:

    1. Donal Smith, 2015. "Collateral Constraints and the Interest Rate," Discussion Papers 15/22, Department of Economics, University of York.
    2. Cole, Alexandre Lucas & Guerello, Chiara & Traficante, Guido, 2020. "One Emu Fiscal Policy For The Euro," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(6), pages 1437-1477, September.
    3. Ovalle, Raul & Ramírez, Francisco A., 2014. "Reglas versus Discreción en la Política Fiscal: Introducción al caso Dominicano [Rules vs Discretion in Fiscal Policy: An Introduction to the Case of the Dominican Republic]," MPRA Paper 68332, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Jonathan Portes & Simon Wren-Lewis, 2015. "Issues in the Design of Fiscal Policy Rules," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 83, pages 56-86, September.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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