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The impact of MENA-to-EU migration in the context of demographic change

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  • DOCQUIER, FRÉDÉRIC
  • MARCHIORI, LUCA

Abstract

We analyze the consequences of increasing MENA-to-EU migration on both sending and receiving regions. Using a general equilibrium model, we find that increasing MENA-to-EU migration generates significant changes in EU15 tax rates and income per capita. Compared to a non-selective immigration shock, selecting immigrants leads to a moderate reduction in tax rates, but to a greater impact on income per capita in the EU15. Emigration, especially if high-skilled, has a detrimental impact on MENA tax rates. Finally, the negative effects in MENA are mitigated if the brain drain leads to side-effects or is accompanied by increased education attainment at origin.

Suggested Citation

  • Docquier, Frédéric & Marchiori, Luca, 2012. "The impact of MENA-to-EU migration in the context of demographic change," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(2), pages 243-284, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jpenef:v:11:y:2012:i:02:p:243-284_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Jennifer Keller & Elina Scheja, 2011. "Inclusive Growth Analysis in Economies Prone to International Migration," World Bank Publications - Reports 27100, The World Bank Group.
    2. Zaiceva, A. & Zimmermann, K.F., 2016. "Migration and the Demographic Shift," Handbook of the Economics of Population Aging, in: Piggott, John & Woodland, Alan (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Population Aging, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 119-177, Elsevier.

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