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Can the Cross-Sectional Variation in Expected Stock Returns Explain Momentum?

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  • Bulkley, George
  • Nawosah, Vivekanand

Abstract

It has been hypothesized that momentum might be rationally explained as a consequence of the cross-sectional variation of unconditional expected returns. Stocks with relatively high unconditional expected returns will on average outperform in both the portfolio formation period and in the subsequent holding period. We evaluate this explanation by first removing unconditional expected returns for each stock from raw returns and then testing for momentum in the resulting series. We measure the unconditional expected return on each stock as its mean return in the whole sample period. We find momentum effects vanish in demeaned returns.

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  • Bulkley, George & Nawosah, Vivekanand, 2009. "Can the Cross-Sectional Variation in Expected Stock Returns Explain Momentum?," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(04), pages 777-794, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:44:y:2009:i:04:p:777-794_99
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    Cited by:

    1. Ishaq Hacini & Khadra Dahou & Mohamed Benbouziane, 2012. "Investment style of Jordanian mutual funds," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology (EMATTECH), Kavala, Greece, vol. 5(2), pages 113-127, August.
    2. PAOLA BRIGHI & STEFANO d'ADDONA & ANTONIO CARLO FRANCESCO DELLA BINA, 2013. "The Determinants of Risk Premia on the Italian Stock Market: Empirical Evidence on Common Factors in Asset Pricing Models," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 42(2), pages 103-133, July.
    3. Bhootra, Ajay, 2011. "Are momentum profits driven by the cross-sectional dispersion in expected stock returns?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 494-513, August.
    4. Chiao-Yi Chang, 2013. "Daily momentum profits with firm characteristics and investors’ optimism in the Taiwan market," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 37(2), pages 253-273, April.
    5. Thomas Nitschka, 2009. "Momentum in stock market returns, risk premia on foreign currencies and international financial integration," IEW - Working Papers 405, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
    6. Chen, Hong-Yi & Chen, Sheng-Syan & Hsin, Chin-Wen & Lee, Cheng-Few, 2014. "Does revenue momentum drive or ride earnings or price momentum?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 166-185.
    7. Paola Brighi & Stefano d'Addona & Antonio Carlo Francesco Della Bina, 2010. "Too Small or too Low? New Evidence on the 4-Factor Model," Working Paper series 31_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    8. Chen, Hong-Yi & Lee, Cheng-Few & Shih, Wei K., 2016. "Technical, fundamental, and combined information for separating winners from losers," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 224-242.
    9. repec:eme:mfipps:v:36:y:2010:i:3:p:364-379 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Chris Stivers & Licheng Sun, 2013. "Market Cycles and the Performance of Relative Strength Strategies," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 42(2), pages 263-290, June.

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