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A Referendum on Trade Theory: Voting on Free Trade in Costa Rica

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  • Urbatsch, Robert

Abstract

Research on mass opinion in international political economy overwhelmingly relies on survey data. This poses problems of external validity, especially for a frequently low-salience issue such as trade policy. To examine whether survey findings about attitudes toward economic openness apply outside of surveys, this note considers patterns of voting in the 2007 Costa Rican plebiscite about joining the Central American Free Trade Area. Several extant theories appear to explain voting patterns, but the results are less in line with traditional economic models based on locally important economic sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Urbatsch, Robert, 2013. "A Referendum on Trade Theory: Voting on Free Trade in Costa Rica," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 67(1), pages 197-214, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:intorg:v:67:y:2013:i:01:p:197-214_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Bernauer, Thomas & Spilker, Gabriele & Umaña, Víctor, 2014. "Different countries same partners: Experimental Evidence on PTA Partner Country Choice from Costa Rica, Nicaragua and Vietnam," Papers 739, World Trade Institute.
    2. William Coleman, 2017. "The Social and Economic Determinants of Voting ‘Yes’ in South Australia’s Federation Referenda," CEPR Discussion Papers 700, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
    3. Philipp Harms & Nils D. Steiner, 2023. "Attitudes towards Globalization: A Survey," Working Papers 2305, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz.
    4. Thomas Bernauer & Liang Dong & Liam F. McGrath & Irina Shaymerdenova & Haibin Zhang, 2016. "Unilateral or Reciprocal Climate Policy? Experimental Evidence from China," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 4(3), pages 152-171.
    5. Nils D Steiner, 2018. "Attitudes towards the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership in the European Union: The treaty partner heuristic and issue attention," European Union Politics, , vol. 19(2), pages 255-277, June.
    6. Timini, Jacopo, 2020. "Staying dry on Spanish wine: The rejection of the 1905 Spanish-Italian trade agreement," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    7. Cornick, Jorge & Frieden, Jeffry & Mesquita Moreira, Mauricio & Stein, Ernesto H., 2022. "Political Economy of Trade Policy in Latin America," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 11953.
    8. Hazama, Yasushi, 2022. "Who supports free trade in developing countries and why: comparative advantage vs the skill premium," IDE Discussion Papers 855, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).

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