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The Effect of Dynamic and Static Choice Sets on Political Decision Making: An Analysis Using the Decision Board Platform

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  • Mintz, Alex
  • Geva, Nehemia
  • Redd, Steven B.
  • Carnes, Amy

Abstract

Previous studies of political decision making have used only “static†choice sets, where alternatives are “fixed†and are a priori known to the decision maker. We assess the effect of a dynamic choice set (new alternatives appear during the decision process) on strategy selection and choice in international politics. We suggest that decision makers use a mixture of decision strategies when making decisions in a two-stage process consisting of an initial screening of available alternatives, and a selection of the best one from the subset of remaining alternatives. To test the effects of dynamic and static choice sets on the decision process we introduce a computer-based “process tracer†in a study of top-ranking officers in the U.S. Air Force. The results show that (1) national security decision makers use a mixture of strategies in arriving at a decision, and (2) strategy selection and choice are significantly influenced by the structure of the choice set (static versus dynamic).

Suggested Citation

  • Mintz, Alex & Geva, Nehemia & Redd, Steven B. & Carnes, Amy, 1997. "The Effect of Dynamic and Static Choice Sets on Political Decision Making: An Analysis Using the Decision Board Platform," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 91(3), pages 553-566, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:91:y:1997:i:03:p:553-566_21
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Nehemia Geva & James Mayhar & J. Mark Skorick, 2000. "The Cognitive Calculus of Foreign Policy Decision Making," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 44(4), pages 447-471, August.
    2. Eric Stern, 2004. "Contextualizing and Critiquing the Poliheuristic Theory," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 48(1), pages 105-126, February.
    3. Karl DeRouen Jr. & Christopher Sprecher, 2004. "Initial Crisis Reaction and Poliheuristic Theory," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 48(1), pages 56-68, February.
    4. Blom, Tannelie and Valentina Carraro, 2014. "An information processing approach to public organizations: The case of the European Union Fundamental Rights Agency," European Integration online Papers (EIoP), European Community Studies Association Austria (ECSA-A), vol. 18, February.
    5. Eben J. Christensen & Steven B. Redd, 2004. "Bureaucrats Versus the Ballot Box in Foreign Policy Decision Making," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 48(1), pages 69-90, February.
    6. Jonathan W. Keller & Yi Edward Yang, 2008. "Leadership Style, Decision Context, and the Poliheuristic Theory of Decision Making: An Experimental Analysis," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 52(5), pages 687-712, October.
    7. Alex Mintz, 2004. "How Do Leaders Make Decisions?," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 48(1), pages 3-13, February.
    8. Alex Mintz, 2004. "Foreign Policy Decision Making in Familiar and Unfamiliar Settings," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 48(1), pages 91-104, February.
    9. Alex Mintz & Steven B. Redd & Arnold Vedlitz, 2006. "Can We Generalize from Student Experiments to the Real World in Political Science, Military Affairs, and International Relations?," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 50(5), pages 757-776, October.
    10. Steven B. Redd, 2002. "The Influence of Advisers on Foreign Policy Decision Making," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 46(3), pages 335-364, June.
    11. Ofer Mintz & Imran S. Currim & Ivan Jeliazkov, 2013. "Information Processing Pattern and Propensity to Buy: An Investigation of Online Point-of-Purchase Behavior," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 32(5), pages 716-732, September.
    12. Steven B. Redd, 2023. "Key Concepts in the Poliheuristic Theory of Foreign Policy Decision Making: A Comparative Examination Using Systemist Theory," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-12, August.
    13. Jonathan Wilkenfeld & Kathleen Young & Victor Asal & David Quinn, 2003. "Mediating International Crises," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 47(3), pages 279-301, June.
    14. Currim, Imran S. & Mintz, Ofer & Siddarth, S., 2015. "Information Accessed or Information Available? The Impact on Consumer Preferences Inferred at a Durable Product E-commerce Website," Journal of Interactive Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 11-25.
    15. Reich, Taly & Savary, Jennifer & Kupor, Daniella, 2021. "Evolving choice sets: The effect of dynamic (vs. static) choice sets on preferences," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 147-157.
    16. Gilbride, Timothy J. & Currim, Imran S. & Mintz, Ofer & Siddarth, S., 2016. "A Model for Inferring Market Preferences from Online Retail Product Information Matrices," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 92(4), pages 470-485.

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