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Identifying a policymaker's target: an application to the Bank of Canada

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  • Nicholas Rowe
  • James Yetman

Abstract

We develop a new way to test hypotheses about policymakers' targets and implement that test for Canadian monetary policy. For example, if the Bank of Canada is targeting a 2 per cent inflation rate, and if the Bank's instrument takes eight quarters to affect inflation, then deviations of inflation from 2 per cent should be uncorrelated with the Bank's information set lagged eight quarters. We show that there was a major change in the Bank's objectives near the time when formal inflation targets were announced and that the Bank has indeed been targeting inflation since then.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicholas Rowe & James Yetman, 2002. "Identifying a policymaker's target: an application to the Bank of Canada," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 35(2), pages 239-256, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:35:y:2002:i:2:p:239-256
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-5982.00129
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    Cited by:

    1. Champagne, Julien & Sekkel, Rodrigo, 2018. "Changes in monetary regimes and the identification of monetary policy shocks: Narrative evidence from Canada," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 72-87.
    2. Rodriguez, Gabriel & Rowe, Nicholas, 2007. "Why U.S. money does not cause U.S. output, but does cause Hong Kong output," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1174-1186, November.
    3. Glenn Otto & Graham Voss, 2009. "Strict and Flexible Inflation Forecast Targets: An Empirical Investigation," Department Discussion Papers 0902, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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