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Sur- et sous-évaluations de change en zone euro?: vers une correction soutenable des déséquilibres??

Author

Listed:
  • Cécile Couharde
  • Anne-Laure Delatte
  • Carl Grekou
  • Valérie Mignon
  • Florian Morvillier

Abstract

Depuis la crise des dettes souveraines, les déséquilibres courants des pays de la zone euro dits périphériques (Espagne, Portugal, Irlande, Grèce) ne se résorbent que lentement au prix de politiques socialement coûteuses, de consolidation budgétaire et de politiques structurelles visant à flexibiliser les marchés du travail. La correction progressive de ces déséquilibres va de pair avec une diminution des sur-évaluations de change des pays concernés. Dans cette Lettre, nous évaluons les mésalignements de change réel au sein de la zone euro et leur évolution depuis la crise. La correction opérée est-elle soutenable ? Sans doute pas car la réduction des sur-évaluations provient d’une dépréciation des taux de change effectifs réels et non d’une amélioration des fondamentaux.

Suggested Citation

  • Cécile Couharde & Anne-Laure Delatte & Carl Grekou & Valérie Mignon & Florian Morvillier, 2017. "Sur- et sous-évaluations de change en zone euro?: vers une correction soutenable des déséquilibres??," La Lettre du CEPII, CEPII research center, issue 375.
  • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepill:2017-375
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    File URL: http://www.cepii.fr/PDF_PUB/lettre/2017/let375.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Couharde, Cécile & Delatte, Anne-Laure & Grekou, Carl & Mignon, Valérie & Morvillier, Florian, 2018. "EQCHANGE: A world database on actual and equilibrium effective exchange rates," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 206-230.
    2. Guillaume Gaulier & Vincent Vicard, 2018. "Some Unpleasant Euro Arithmetic," CEPII Policy Brief 2018-21, CEPII research center.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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