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Trade shocks and labour market resilience in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does the franc zone response differently?

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  • Tii N. Nchofoung

Abstract

This paper aims to evaluate the impact of commodity terms of trade (CTOT) shocks on the labour market resilience of Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries, comparing the franc zone countries on the one hand, from the non-franc zone countries on the other hand. The results from the PVAR estimation indicate a positive impact of commodity terms of trade shocks on labour market resilience in SSA countries. This finding holds in both the franc zone and the non-franc zone countries. When robustness is checked through the PSTR, this positive relationship is established to be non-linear. The policy implications of the study invite the policy makers to diversify their economies to limit their heavy reliance on commodities.

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  • Tii N. Nchofoung, 2022. "Trade shocks and labour market resilience in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does the franc zone response differently?," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 169, pages 161-174.
    • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2022-q2-169-11
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    2. Prince Hikouatcha & Arsène Aurelien Njamen Kengdo & Hans Patrick Bidias Menik & Pierre Ghislain Tchoffo Tioyem & Tii Njivukuh Nchofoung, 2023. "Microstructure and asset pricing: An insight on African frontier stock markets," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(4), pages 944-987, October.
    3. Tii N. Nchofoung & Simplice A. Asongu & Vanessa S. Tchamyou, 2022. "Tourism, ICT and inclusive development: global evidence," Working Papers 22/037, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
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    6. Jean-Claude Kouladoum, 2023. "Inclusive Education and Health Performance in Sub Saharan Africa," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 879-900, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Commodity terms of trade; Resilience Franc zone; PVAR; PSTR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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