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Mesurer l'influence des unions monetaires sur le commerce


  • Julie Lochard


La problematique de l'integration monetaire s'est longtemps inseree dans le debat entre regimes de change fixes et flexibles. L'article publie en 2000 par Andrew Rose ouvre de nouvelles voies pour la recherche en mettant l'accent sur l'impact macroeconomique des unions monetaires. Il montre que deux pays partageant une meme monnaie commercent en moyenne trois fois plus que deux pays avec des monnaies differentes. Dans cet article, nous tentons de re-estimer l'impact des unions monetaires sur le commerce a partir du meme echantillon. Nous proposons une methode d'estimation en panel permettant de prendre en compte les specificites inobservables des unions monetaires considerees dans cet echantillon. Nous montrons alors que l'effet de l’union monetaire sur le commerce n'est pas un resultat general.

Suggested Citation

  • Julie Lochard, 2005. "Mesurer l'influence des unions monetaires sur le commerce," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 103, pages 5-24.
  • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2005-3ta

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    Cited by:

    1. Coulibaly, Issiaka & Gnimassoun, Blaise, 2013. "Optimality of a monetary union: New evidence from exchange rate misalignments in West Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 463-482.
    2. repec:bla:afrdev:v:29:y:2017:i:s2:p:147-162 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Yannick LUCOTTE, 2009. "Central Bank Independence and Budget Deficits in Developing Countries: New Evidence from Panel Analysis," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 303, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.

    More about this item


    Union monetaire; commerce; gravite; panel;

    JEL classification:

    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models


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