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Baukonjunktur 2001/02: Noch tiefer ins Tal

Author

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  • Volker Rußig

Abstract

Die deutsche Bauwirtschaft ist im vergangenen Jahr erneut in einen kräftigen Abwärtsstrudel geraten. Nimmt man die Bauinvestitionen als gebräuchlichste Messgröße, wird sich die Talfahrt 2001 beschleunigen und auch 2002 noch nicht beendet sein. Die Entwicklungen im Bausektor zwischen West- und Ostdeutschland weisen weiterhin gravierende Unterschiede auf. Nach den Prognosen des ifo Instituts werden die westdeutschen Bauinvestitionen im laufenden Jahr um fast 4% und 2002 weiter um rund 1½% schrumpfen; für die neuen Länder wird ein Rückgang um über 10% bzw. um rund 4% erwartet. Im gesamten Bundesgebiet sinken die Bauinvestitionen um 5½% in diesem und um 2% im nächsten Jahr. Damit bleibt der Bausektor eine gewichtige Bremse des gesamtwirtschaftlichen Erholungsprozesses.

Suggested Citation

  • Volker Rußig, 2001. "Baukonjunktur 2001/02: Noch tiefer ins Tal," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(18), pages 21-32, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:54:y:2001:i:18:p:21-32
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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/DocDL/ifosd_2001_18_3.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2001. "Die Weltkonjunktur und die deutsche Wirtschaft," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(13), pages 18-28, September.
    2. Annette Weichselberger, 2001. "Westdeutsche Industrie investiert 2001 mehr als geplant," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(14), pages 23-31, October.
    3. Peter Jäckel, 2001. "Verarbeitendes Gewerbe der neuen Bundesländer: 2001 nach sechs Jahren erstmals wieder Investitionsanstieg?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(13), pages 45-52, September.
    4. Karin Behring, 2001. "Infrastruktureller Nachholbedarf der neuen Bundesländer," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(09), pages 21-28, October.
    5. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2001. "Verpufft die Steuersenkung in den Preisen?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(12), pages 49-51, October.
    6. Bernd Bartholmai, 2001. "Schlechte Aussichten für den Wohnungsbau," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 68(3), pages 39-49.
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    Cited by:

    1. Reinhard Hild & Gernot Nerb & Volker Rußig & Uwe Christian Täger, 2001. "ifo Branchen-Dialog 2001: Sektoral differenzierte Branchenperspektiven bis 2003," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(22), pages 22-31, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Baukonjunktur; Bauwirtschaft; Deutschland;

    JEL classification:

    • L74 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Construction

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