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Structural breaks and real convergence in OPEC countries

Author

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  • Juncal Cunado

    (Universidad de Navarra)

Abstract

This article examines the real convergence hypothesis in OPEC countries (Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Gabon, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Venezuela) using time series techniques and allowing for structural breaks. The main results show lack of support for income convergence in OPEC countries. We only find evidence of catch-up with the U.S. economy for the case of Indonesia, and for Angola in the last years of the sample. These findings are in line with the resource curse literature, which suggests that natural resource dependence inhibits economic growth. Furthermore, the results suggest that the countrys oil export dependence is negatively related with its per capita GDP growth rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Juncal Cunado, 2011. "Structural breaks and real convergence in OPEC countries," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 14, pages 101-117, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:cem:jaecon:v:14:y:2011:n:1:p:101-117
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    File URL: https://ucema.edu.ar/publicaciones/download/volume14/cunado.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Escobar, Octavio R. & Le Chaffotec, Alexandra, 2015. "The influence of OPEC membership on economic development: A transaction cost comparative approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 304-318.
    2. Mariusz Próchniak & Bartosz Witkowski, 2015. "Stochastic Convergence of the European Union Countries: A Conditional Approach," Collegium of Economic Analysis Annals, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, issue 39, pages 41-56.
    3. Burcu Ozcan, 2014. "Does Income Converge among EU Member Countries following the Post-War Period? Evidence from the PANKPSS Test," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 22-38, October.
    4. Mariusz Prochniak & Bartosz Witkowski, 2016. "On The Use Of Panel Stationarity Tests In Convergence Analysis: Empirical Evidence For The Eu Countries," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 11(1), pages 77-96, March.
    5. OlaOluwa S.Yaya & Pui Kiew Ling & Fumitaka Furuoka & Chinyere Mary Rose Ezeoke & Ray Ikechukwu Jacob, 2019. "Can West African countries catch up with Nigeria? Evidence from smooth nonlinearity method in fractional unit root framework," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 158, pages 51-63.
    6. Phiri, Andrew, 2018. "Robust analysis of convergence in per capita GDP in BRICS economies," MPRA Paper 86936, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Ling, Pui Kiew & Furuoka, Fumitaka & Ezeoke, Chinyere Mary Rose & Jacob, Ray Ikechukwu, 2018. "Can Western African countries catch up with Nigeria? Evidence from Smooth Nonlinearity method in Fractional Unit root framework," MPRA Paper 90517, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2019. "Quantile regressions, asymmetric adjustment and crisis: the case of EU real exchange rates," Working Papers 2019/09, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    9. Nazlioglu, Saban & Payne, James E. & Lee, Junsoo & Rayos-Velazquez, Marco & Karul, Cagin, 2021. "Convergence in OPEC carbon dioxide emissions: Evidence from new panel stationarity tests with factors and breaks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    real convergence; unit root tests; OPEC countries; structural breaks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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