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Rattrapage technologique et convergence : un test par les séries temporelles dans le cas des pays de la région MENA

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  • Francisco Serranito

Abstract

Stochastic convergence implies that the convergence hypothesis will be rejected if the income differential is not stationary. However, this definition is valid only if the convergence process between the two countries is already over. If we take into account the possibility of a catching-up then poorest countries should obtain a faster growth than developed countries. So income gaps should integrate deterministic decreasing trends. We formalize this intuition theoretically using a stochastic neoclassical growth model with heterogeneous technology. We then apply this model to the issue of per capita GDP catching-up of eight MENA countries towards the level of income in Europe. We approximate the nonlinear deterministic trend by a linear function with break and apply the unit root test with two breaks endogenous.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco Serranito, 2010. "Rattrapage technologique et convergence : un test par les séries temporelles dans le cas des pays de la région MENA," Revue d’économie du développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 18(2), pages 5-45.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:edddbu:edd_242_0005
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Nicolas Péridy & Mohamed Hazem & Marc Brunetto, 2013. "Some new insights into real convergence in MENA countries’ regional areas: a spatial econometric analysis," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 2(4), pages 150-160.
    2. Serge Rey, 2011. "La Macroéconomie des PSEM : état des lieux et relations avec l’Union Européenne," Working Papers hal-01880349, HAL.
    3. Serranito, Francisco, 2013. "Heterogeneous technology and the technological catching-up hypothesis: Theory and assessment in the case of MENA countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 685-697.
    4. Serge Rey, 2011. "La Macroéconomie des PSEM : état des lieux et relations avec l’Union Européenne," Working Papers hal-01880349, HAL.
    5. Carlo Altomonte & Massimiliano Ferrara (ed.), 2014. "The Economic and Political Aftermath of the Arab Spring," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 15298.
    6. Maria Giovanna Bosco & Roberto Mavilia, 2014. "Innovation performance of MENA countries: where do we stand?," Chapters, in: Carlo Altomonte & Massimiliano Ferrara (ed.), The Economic and Political Aftermath of the Arab Spring, chapter 7, pages 204-228, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    7. Najeh AISSAOUI, 2017. "ICT and growth gap between nations: Evidence from MENA region," E3 Journal of Business Management and Economics., E3 Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 026-037.
    8. Issa, Samah & Girardone, Claudia & Snaith, Stuart, 2022. "Banking competition, convergence and growth across macro-regions of MENA," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 534-549.
    9. Jouini, Nizar & Oulmane, Nassim & Peridy, Nicolas, 2014. "North African countries (NACs) production and export structure: Towards diversification and export sophistication strategy," MPRA Paper 62476, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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