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Randomly Modulated Periodic Signals in Alberta's Electricity Market

Author

Listed:
  • Hinich Melvin J.

    (University of Texas, Austin)

  • Serletis Apostolos

    (University of Calgary)

Abstract

This paper uses hourly electricity prices and MW hour demand for Alberta, Canada over the deregulated period after 1996 to test for randomly modulated periodicity. In doing so, we apply the signal coherence spectral analysis to the time series of hourly spot prices and megawatt-hours (MWh) demand from 1/1/1996 to 12/7/2003 using the FORTRAN 95 program developed by Hinich (2000). We detect relatively steady weekly and daily cycles in demand but very unstable cycles in prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Hinich Melvin J. & Serletis Apostolos, 2006. "Randomly Modulated Periodic Signals in Alberta's Electricity Market," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(3), pages 1-15, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:sndecm:v:10:y:2006:i:3:n:5
    DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1340
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hinich, Melvin A. & Wild, Phillip, 2001. "Testing Time-Series Stationarity Against An Alternative Whose Mean Is Periodic," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(3), pages 380-412, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yoosoon Chang & Chang Sik Kim & J. Isaac Miller & Joon Y. Park & Sungkeun Park, 2014. "Time-varying Long-run Income and Output Elasticities of Electricity Demand," Working Papers 1409, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • N70 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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