IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bpj/pepspp/v26y2020i3p05n13.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

COVID-19 and the Potential Consequences for Social Stability

Author

Listed:
  • Censolo Roberto

    (University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy)

  • Morelli Massimo

    (Bocconi University, IGIER, Dondena and CEPR, Milan, Italy)

Abstract

Epidemics create risks of social unrest. The great plagues of the past show that social tensions, accumulated over the epidemic and before, often erupted in serious uprisings in the years after the epidemic. Based on historical evidence, we predict that the protests inherited from the pre-COVID-19 period should be crowded out by epidemic-related unrest as long as the epidemic lasts, whereas in the aftermath of the epidemic we should expect the unresolved pre-epidemic grievances to resume even stronger, boosted also by the incremental social grievances related to the epidemic period. While the epidemic lasts, the status quo and incumbent governments tend to consolidate, but a sharp increase in social instability in the aftermath of the epidemic should be expected.

Suggested Citation

  • Censolo Roberto & Morelli Massimo, 2020. "COVID-19 and the Potential Consequences for Social Stability," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 26(3), pages 1-05, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:pepspp:v:26:y:2020:i:3:p:05:n:13
    DOI: 10.1515/peps-2020-0045
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2020-0045
    Download Restriction: For access to full text, subscription to the journal or payment for the individual article is required.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1515/peps-2020-0045?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. PINSHI, Christian P., 2021. "Vue d’ensemble de la COVID-19 : De la définition aux effets spillovers macroéconomiques [Overview of COVID-19: From definition to macroeconomic spillover effects]," MPRA Paper 106066, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Feb 2021.
    2. Lackner, Mario & Sunde, Uwe & Winter-Ebmer, Rudolf, 2021. "COVID-19 and the Forces behind Social Unrest," IZA Discussion Papers 14884, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Gholipour, Hassan F., 2023. "COVID-19 fatalities and internal conflict: Does government economic support matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    4. Mario Lackner & Uwe Sunde & Rudolf Winter-Ebmer, 2023. "The Forces Behind Social Unrest: Evidence from the Covid-19 Pandemic," Economics working papers 2023-07, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    5. Bank, André & Deepen, Yannick & Grauvogel, Julia & Kurtenbach, Sabine, 2022. "COVID-19 and violent actors in the global south: An inter- and cross-regional comparison," GIGA Working Papers 329, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies.
    6. Koen Zwet & Ana I. Barros & Tom M. Engers & Peter M. A. Sloot, 2022. "Emergence of protests during the COVID-19 pandemic: quantitative models to explore the contributions of societal conditions," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-11, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    epidemics; protests; conflict incubator; repressions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • N90 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History - - - General, International, or Comparative

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bpj:pepspp:v:26:y:2020:i:3:p:05:n:13. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.degruyter.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.