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An Overview of the Influence of Domestic Constraints on Crisis Initiation and Termination

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  • Carlson Lisa J.

    (Department of Political Science, University of Idaho, USA)

  • Dacey Raymond

    (Department of Business, College of Business and Economics, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83843-3161, USA)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to provide a formal model of the effects of domestic constraints upon crisis initiation and crisis termination. The model treated here is distilled from an extension of the two-sided incomplete information version of the traditional deterrence game. We employ a two-stage analysis of the decision problem faced by Challenger that formally links the onset of a crisis to the decision over whether to escalate or to back down in a crisis should the Challenger face resistance from the Defender. The results have interesting implications for the empirical analysis of international and domestic interactions, and crisis initiation in particular, in that it provides a foundation for displaying the mechanism of interdependence of crisis initiation and crisis termination.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlson Lisa J. & Dacey Raymond, 2013. "An Overview of the Influence of Domestic Constraints on Crisis Initiation and Termination," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 19(3), pages 403-413, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:pepspp:v:19:y:2013:i:3:p:403-413:n:5
    DOI: 10.1515/peps-2013-0033
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita & Alastair Smith & Randolph M. Siverson & James D. Morrow, 2005. "The Logic of Political Survival," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262524406, December.
    2. Weeks, Jessica L., 2012. "Strongmen and Straw Men: Authoritarian Regimes and the Initiation of International Conflict," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 106(2), pages 326-347, May.
    3. Christopher Gelpi, 1997. "Democratic Diversions," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 41(2), pages 255-282, April.
    4. de Mesquita, Bruce Bueno & Morrow, James D. & Siverson, Randolph M. & Smith, Alastair, 1999. "An Institutional Explanation of the Democratic Peace," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 93(4), pages 791-807, December.
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