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Subprime Mortgage Defaults and Credit Default Swaps

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  • ERIC ARENTSEN
  • DAVID C. MAUER
  • BRIAN ROSENLUND
  • HAROLD H. ZHANG
  • FENG ZHAO

Abstract

type="main"> We offer the first empirical evidence on the adverse effect of credit default swap (CDS) coverage on subprime mortgage defaults. Using a large database of privately securitized mortgages, we find that higher defaults concentrate in mortgage pools with concurrent CDS coverage, and within these pools the loans originated after or shortly before the start of CDS coverage have an even higher delinquency rate. The results are robust across zip code and origination quarter cohorts. Overall, we show that CDS coverage helped drive higher mortgage defaults during the financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Arentsen & David C. Mauer & Brian Rosenlund & Harold H. Zhang & Feng Zhao, 2015. "Subprime Mortgage Defaults and Credit Default Swaps," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 70(2), pages 689-731, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:70:y:2015:i:2:p:689-731
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/jofi.12221
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    Cited by:

    1. Shanuka Senarath & Pelma Rajapakse & Jan Job de Vries Robbé & Naveen Wickremeratne & Maduka Subasinghage, 2022. "Being Naked - et Quo hinc ?: Developing a ‘Skin-in-the-Game’ Solution for Credit Default Swaps," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-14, October.
    2. Benson, Bradley W. & Lian, Qin & Wang, Qiming, 2016. "Stock ownership guidelines for CEOs: Do they (not) meet expectations?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 52-71.
    3. Shan, Chenyu & Tang, Dragon Yongjun & Winton, Andrew, 2019. "Do banks still monitor when there is a market for credit protection?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(2).
    4. Arnold, M., 2017. "The impact of central clearing on banks’ lending discipline," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 91-114.
    5. Eid, Nourhan & Maltby, Josephine & Talavera, Oleksandr, 2016. "Income Rounding and Loan Performance in the Peer-to-Peer Market," MPRA Paper 72852, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Andrey Pavlov & Eduardo Schwartz & Susan Wachter, 2021. "Price Discovery Limits in the Credit Default Swap Market in the Financial Crisis," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 165-186, February.
    7. Bin Wei & Feng Zhao, 2022. "Racial Disparities in Mortgage Lending: New Evidence Based on Processing Time," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2022-1, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    8. Zhao, Hui & Shen, Yang & Zeng, Yan & Zhang, Wenjun, 2019. "Robust equilibrium excess-of-loss reinsurance and CDS investment strategies for a mean–variance insurer with ambiguity aversion," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 159-180.
    9. José María Liberti & Mitchell A Petersen, 2019. "Information: Hard and Soft," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 8(1), pages 1-41.
    10. José María Liberti & Mitchell A. Petersen, 2018. "Information: Hard and Soft," NBER Working Papers 25075, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Chao Ma & Hao Zhang & Hongbiao Zhao, 2023. "Securitization of assets with payment delay risk: A financial innovation in the real estate market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 480-515, April.
    12. Chiu, Junmao & Chung, Huimin & Ho, Keng-Yu & Wu, Chih-Chiang, 2018. "Investor sentiment and evaporating liquidity during the financial crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 21-36.
    13. Floros, Ioannis & White, Joshua T., 2016. "Qualified residential mortgages and default risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 86-104.
    14. Naceur Essaddam & Miran Hossain & Tashfeen Hussain, 2023. "Do credit default swaps impact lenders’ monitoring of loans?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 567-600, August.
    15. Hagendorff, Jens & Nguyen, Duc Duy & Sila, Vathunyoo, 2022. "Does marriage equality promote credit access? Evidence from same-sex marriage laws," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    16. Taejun Lim, 2018. "Housing as Collateral, Financial Constraints, and Small Businesses," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 30, pages 68-85, October.

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