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The Effect of Money Shocks on Interest Rates in the Presence of Conditional Heteroskedasticity

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  • Grier, Kevin B
  • Perry, Mark J

Abstract

Most current empirical work finds no evidence that money shocks lower interest rates. The authors show that these nonresults are mainly due to a failure to model the conditional heteroskedasticity of interest rates. Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasiticity (ARCH) models find a significant liquidity effect where ordinary least squares (OLS) models do not. The existence of a liquidity effect is found using different models and sample periods when ARCH models are used in estimation but never when OLS is employed. Copyright 1993 by American Finance Association.

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  • Grier, Kevin B & Perry, Mark J, 1993. "The Effect of Money Shocks on Interest Rates in the Presence of Conditional Heteroskedasticity," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(4), pages 1445-1455, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:48:y:1993:i:4:p:1445-55
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    Cited by:

    1. Grier, Kevin & Hernandez-Trillo, Fausto, 2007. "The real exchange rate process and its real effects: The cases of Mexico and the USA," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 7(1), pages 1-25, May.
    2. Tony Caporale & Barbara McKiernan, 1998. "The Fischer Black Hypothesis: Some Time‐Series Evidence," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 64(3), pages 765-771, January.
    3. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Aaron Tornell, 1996. "Exchange Rate Dynamics and Learning," NBER Working Papers 5530, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Caporale, Barbara & Caporale, Tony, 2003. "Investigating the effects of monetary regime shifts: The case of the Federal Reserve and the shrinking risk premium," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 87-91, July.
    5. Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi & Jalolov, Mirzosharif, 2005. "Money-income causality revisited in EGARCH: Spillovers of monetary policy to Asia from the US," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 299-313, April.
    6. Caporale, Barbara & Caporale, Tony, 2008. "Political risk and the expectations hypothesis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 178-180, August.
    7. Sturges, David M., 2000. "International bonds and the currency risk: How do macroshocks affect returns?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 351-373, October.
    8. Kevin Grier & Haichun Ye, 2009. "Twin Sons Of Different Mothers: The Long And The Short Of The Twin Deficits Debate," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 47(4), pages 625-638, October.
    9. Vilasuso, Jon, 1999. "The Liquidity Effect and the Operating Procedure of the Federal Reserve," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 443-461, July.
    10. Benjamin Kim & Noor Ghazali, 1998. "The Liquidity Effect of Money Shocks on Short-Term Interest Rates: Some International Evidence," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 49-63.
    11. Tony Caporale & Barbara McKiernan, 1999. "Monetary policy shocks and interest rates: Further evidence on the liquidity effect," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 135(2), pages 306-316, June.
    12. Fujen Daniel Hsiao & Yan Hu, 2014. "International Evidence of Spillover Effects of Deposit Rates: A Multivariate Garch Model," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 8(1), pages 31-44.
    13. Kevin B. Grier & Mark J. Perry, 2000. "The effects of real and nominal uncertainty on inflation and output growth: some garch-m evidence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(1), pages 45-58.

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