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Pollution and infectious diseases

Author

Listed:
  • Stefano Bosi
  • David Desmarchelier

Abstract

Recent empirical contributions highlight the negative impact of pollution on labor supply. This relationship is explained by two mechanisms: first, pollution modifies agents’ work–leisure trade‐off as it deteriorates their working conditions (incentive effect); and second, a polluted environment is likely to generate more frequent epidemic outbreaks and to affect agents’ immune systems (health effect). Bosi et al. () explore the aggregate consequences of the incentive effect and show that it can generate endogenous fluctuations in the economic activity. The present paper focuses on the health effect as we study a Ramsey model augmented with the spread of infectious disease. We find that industrial pollution may generate limit cycles around an endemic steady state. More precisely, the economic system may undergo a transcritical bifurcation followed by two Hopf bifurcations near this steady state.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefano Bosi & David Desmarchelier, 2018. "Pollution and infectious diseases," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 14(4), pages 351-372, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ijethy:v:14:y:2018:i:4:p:351-372
    DOI: 10.1111/ijet.12157
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    Cited by:

    1. Luca Gori & Cristiana Mammana & Piero Manfredi & Elisabetta Michetti, 2022. "Economic development with deadly communicable diseases and public prevention," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 24(5), pages 912-943, October.
    2. Stefano Bosi & Carmen Camacho & David Desmarchelier, 2020. "Optimal lockdown in altruistic economies," PSE Working Papers halshs-02652165, HAL.
    3. Stefano Bosi & David Desmarchelier, 2021. "Pollution effects on disease transmission and economic stability," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 17(2), pages 169-189, June.
    4. Goenka, Aditya & Liu, Lin & Nguyen, Manh-Hung, 2021. "SIR economic epidemiological models with disease induced mortality," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. Guillaume MOREL, 2020. "PA note on pollution and infectious diseases," Working Papers of BETA 2020-22, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    6. Guillaume Morel, 2020. "A note on pollution and infectious disease," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 2723-2733.
    7. Goenka, Aditya & Liu, Lin & Nguyen, Manh-Hung, 2021. "COVID-19 and a Green Recovery?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    8. Thomas Hellmann & Veikko Thiele, 2022. "A theory of voluntary testing and self‐isolation in an ongoing pandemic," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 24(5), pages 873-911, October.
    9. David Desmarchelier & Magali Jaoul‐Grammare & Guillaume Morel & Thi K. C. Pham, 2025. "Infectious disease and endogenous cycles: Lockdown hits two birds with one stone," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 21(3), pages 316-342, September.
    10. Bosi, Stefano & Camacho, Carmen & Desmarchelier, David, 2021. "Optimal lockdown in altruistic economies," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    11. Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu, 2020. "Infectious diseases, human capital and economic growth," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 70(1), pages 1-47, July.
    12. Stefano Bosi & Carmen Camacho & David Desmarchelier, 2023. "On human capital accumulation in times of epidemic," Working Papers halshs-04164371, HAL.
    13. Takuma Kunieda & Kazuo Nishimura, 2021. "Pollution, Human Capital, and Growth Cycles," Creative Economy, in: Kazuo Nishimura & Masatoshi Murase & Kazuyoshi Yoshimura (ed.), Creative Complex Systems, chapter 0, pages 85-99, Springer.
    14. Giovanni Bella & Paolo Mattana & Beatrice Venturi, 2022. "Existence and implications of a pitchfork-Hopf bifurcation in a continuous-time two-sector growth model," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(1), pages 259-285, January.
    15. Boucekkine, Raouf & Chakraborty, Shankha & Goenka, Aditya & Liu, Lin, 2024. "Economic epidemiological modelling: A progress report," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    16. Stefano Bosi & Carmen Camacho & David Desmarchelier, 2020. "Optimal lockdown in altruistic economies," Working Papers halshs-02652165, HAL.
    17. Guillaume MOREL, 2020. "A note on pollution and infectious disease," Working Papers of BETA 2020-38, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    18. Marco Desogus & Beatrice Venturi, 2023. "Stability and Bifurcations in Banks and Small Enterprises—A Three-Dimensional Continuous-Time Dynamical System," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-20, March.
    19. Raouf Boucekkine & Shankha Chakraborty & Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu, 2024. "A Brief Tour of Economic Epidemiology Modelling," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2024002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    20. repec:hal:journl:hal-03549316 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D9 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics
    • Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics
    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health

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