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Pollution and infectious diseases

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  • Stefano Bosi
  • David Desmarchelier

Abstract

Recent empirical contributions highlight the negative impact of pollution on labor supply. This relationship is explained by two mechanisms: first, pollution modifies agents’ work–leisure trade‐off as it deteriorates their working conditions (incentive effect); and second, a polluted environment is likely to generate more frequent epidemic outbreaks and to affect agents’ immune systems (health effect). Bosi et al. () explore the aggregate consequences of the incentive effect and show that it can generate endogenous fluctuations in the economic activity. The present paper focuses on the health effect as we study a Ramsey model augmented with the spread of infectious disease. We find that industrial pollution may generate limit cycles around an endemic steady state. More precisely, the economic system may undergo a transcritical bifurcation followed by two Hopf bifurcations near this steady state.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefano Bosi & David Desmarchelier, 2018. "Pollution and infectious diseases," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 14(4), pages 351-372, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ijethy:v:14:y:2018:i:4:p:351-372
    DOI: 10.1111/ijet.12157
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    1. Doriana Delfino & Peter J. Simmons, "undated". "Positive and Normative Issues of Economic Growth with Infectious Disease," Discussion Papers 00/48, Department of Economics, University of York.
    2. Stefano Bosi & David Desmarchelier & Lionel Ragot, 2015. "Pollution effects on labor supply and growth," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 11(4), pages 371-388, December.
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    6. Mark Gersovitz & Jeffrey S. Hammer, 2004. "The Economical Control of Infectious Diseases," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 114(492), pages 1-27, January.
    7. Goenka, Aditya & Liu, Lin & Nguyen, Manh-Hung, 2014. "Infectious diseases and economic growth," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 34-53.
    8. Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu, 2012. "Infectious diseases and endogenous fluctuations," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 50(1), pages 125-149, May.
    9. Joshua Graff Zivin & Matthew Neidell, 2014. "Temperature and the Allocation of Time: Implications for Climate Change," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 32(1), pages 1-26.
    10. Geoffard, Pierre-Yves & Philipson, Tomas, 1996. "Rational Epidemics and Their Public Control," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 37(3), pages 603-624, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bosi, Stefano & Camacho, Carmen & Desmarchelier, David, 2021. "Optimal lockdown in altruistic economies," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    2. Guillaume Morel, 2020. "A note on pollution and infectious disease," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 2723-2733.
    3. Takuma Kunieda & Kazuo Nishimura, 2021. "Pollution, Human Capital, and Growth Cycles," Creative Economy, in: Kazuo Nishimura & Masatoshi Murase & Kazuyoshi Yoshimura (ed.), Creative Complex Systems, chapter 0, pages 85-99, Springer.
    4. Thomas Hellmann & Veikko Thiele, 2022. "A theory of voluntary testing and self‐isolation in an ongoing pandemic," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 24(5), pages 873-911, October.
    5. David Desmarchelier & Magali Jaoul-Grammare & Guillaume Morel & Thi Kim Cuong Pham, 2021. "Infectious disease and endogenous cycles: lockdown hits two birds with one stone," Working Papers of BETA 2021-23, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    6. Goenka, Aditya & Liu, Lin & Nguyen, Manh-Hung, 2021. "SIR economic epidemiological models with disease induced mortality," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    7. Stefano Bosi & David Desmarchelier, 2021. "Pollution effects on disease transmission and economic stability," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 17(2), pages 169-189, June.
    8. Goenka, Aditya & Liu, Lin & Nguyen, Manh-Hung, 2021. "COVID-19 and a Green Recovery?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    9. Guillaume MOREL, 2020. "PA note on pollution and infectious diseases," Working Papers of BETA 2020-22, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    10. Stefano Bosi & Carmen Camacho & David Desmarchelier, 2020. "Optimal lockdown in altruistic economies," Working Papers halshs-02652165, HAL.
    11. Guillaume MOREL, 2020. "A note on pollution and infectious disease," Working Papers of BETA 2020-38, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    12. Luca Gori & Cristiana Mammana & Piero Manfredi & Elisabetta Michetti, 2022. "Economic development with deadly communicable diseases and public prevention," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 24(5), pages 912-943, October.
    13. Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu, 2020. "Infectious diseases, human capital and economic growth," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 70(1), pages 1-47, July.
    14. Marco Desogus & Beatrice Venturi, 2023. "Stability and Bifurcations in Banks and Small Enterprises—A Three-Dimensional Continuous-Time Dynamical System," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-20, March.
    15. Giovanni Bella & Paolo Mattana & Beatrice Venturi, 2022. "Existence and implications of a pitchfork-Hopf bifurcation in a continuous-time two-sector growth model," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(1), pages 259-285, January.
    16. Stefano Bosi & Carmen Camacho & David Desmarchelier, 2020. "Optimal lockdown in altruistic economies," PSE Working Papers halshs-02652165, HAL.
    17. Raouf Boucekkine & Shankha Chakraborty & Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu, 2024. "A Brief Tour of Economic Epidemiology Modelling," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2024002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    18. Stefano Bosi & Carmen Camacho & David Desmarchelier, 2023. "On human capital accumulation in times of epidemic," PSE Working Papers halshs-04164371, HAL.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D9 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics
    • Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics
    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health

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