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Contagion Effects from the 1994 Mexican Peso Crisis: Evidence from Chilean Stocks

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  • Ike Mathur
  • Kimberly C. Gleason
  • Selahattin Dibooglu
  • Manohar Singh

Abstract

The contagion, or informational spillover, effects of the 1994 peso crisis from the Mexican market to the Chilean market, and to the Chilean American Depository Receipts (ADRs) trading in the U.S., are examined. Significant excess returns are observed for Chilean stocks for the event dates of the Mexican Peso crisis, providing evidence of contagion effects. Significant excess returns on these Chilean ADRs are also observed for each of the five event dates associated with the Peso crisis, suggesting that the contagion effects spilled over to the ADRs. A multiple regression model shows that the spillover contagion effects were very efficiently transmitted from the Mexican market to the Chilean market to the Chilean ADRs. Multifactor regressions show that the most significant influence on the pricing of Chilean ADRs is the raw Chilean Index, rather than the Chilean Index expressed in U.S. dollars.

Suggested Citation

  • Ike Mathur & Kimberly C. Gleason & Selahattin Dibooglu & Manohar Singh, 2002. "Contagion Effects from the 1994 Mexican Peso Crisis: Evidence from Chilean Stocks," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 37(1), pages 17-33, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:37:y:2002:i:1:p:17-33
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6288.00002
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    Cited by:

    1. Haque, Mahfuzul & Varela, Oscar & Hassan, M. Kabir, 2007. "Safety-first and extreme value bilateral U.S.-Mexican portfolio optimization around the peso crisis and NAFTA in 1994," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 449-469, July.
    2. María Lorena Mari del Cristo & Marta Gómez-Puig, 2017. "Dollarization and the relationship between EMBI and fundamentals in Latin American Countries," Cuadernos de Economía - Spanish Journal of Economics and Finance, Asociación Cuadernos de Economía, vol. 40(112), pages 14-30, Enero.
    3. Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Caliskan Terzioglu, Hande & Kilic, Yunus & Bugan, Mehmet Fatih & Dibooglu, Sel, 2024. "Interconnectedness and systemic risk: Evidence from global stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    4. Yang, Jian & Bessler, David A., 2008. "Contagion around the October 1987 stock market crash," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 184(1), pages 291-310, January.
    5. Mahfuzul Haque & Oscar Varela, 2010. "US-Thailand Bilateral Safety-first Portfolio Optimisation around the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 9(2), pages 171-197, August.
    6. Rodrigo Saens & Eduardo Sandoval, 2005. "Measuring Security Price Performance Using Chilean Daily Stock Returns: The Event Study Method," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 42(126), pages 307-328.

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