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Africa's Rising Demand for Wheat: Trends, Drivers, and Policy Implications

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  • Nicole M. Mason
  • T.S. Jayne
  • Bekele Shiferaw

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="dpr12129-abs-0001"> This article analyses trends in wheat consumption and imports in sub-Saharan Africa since 1980, and estimates the economic and demographic determinants of this rising demand for wheat. Results point to rising incomes, growing populations, and increasing women's labour-force participation as key drivers. Urban wheat-expenditure shares generally exceed rural ones and SSA's demand is met largely by imports and partly through domestic production on large-scale farms. Rising demand may therefore entail few farm–non-farm synergies and minimal prospects to spur broad-based economic development. The article concludes by discussing policy options for African countries to meet their staple food needs while also promoting pro-poor agricultural growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicole M. Mason & T.S. Jayne & Bekele Shiferaw, 2015. "Africa's Rising Demand for Wheat: Trends, Drivers, and Policy Implications," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 33(5), pages 581-613, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:devpol:v:33:y:2015:i:5:p:581-613
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/dpr.2015.33.issue-5
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    Cited by:

    1. Biggeri, Mario & Burchi, Francesco & Ciani, Federico & Herrmann, Raoul, 2018. "Linking small-scale farmers to the durum wheat value chain in Ethiopia: Assessing the effects on production and wellbeing," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 77-91.
    2. Liverpool-Tasie, Lenis & Adjognon, Serge & Reardon, Thomas, 2016. "Transformation of the food system in Nigeria and female participation in the Non-Farm Economy (NFE)," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236284, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Mottaleb, Khondoker A. & Mishra, Ashok K., 2020. "Income, Urbanization, and Consumption of Processed Foods: Implications for Nutrition and Health Policies for India," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304206, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Mottaleb, Khondoker Abdul & Singh, Pawan Kumar & He, Xinyao & Hossain, Akbar & Kruseman, Gideon & Erenstein, Olaf, 2019. "Alternative use of wheat land to implement a potential wheat holiday as wheat blast control: In search of feasible crops in Bangladesh," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1-12.

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