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Fuel Subsidy Removal and Fiscal Reallocation in Nigeria (2023–2025): Implications for Economic Growth

Author

Listed:
  • Diri, Darapu Tumini

    (Department of Banking and Finance)

  • Chibuogwu, Dupe Ejabena PhD.

    (Department of Accounting)

  • Nwosu, Eleazar Chimezie

    (Department of Banking and Finance)

  • Otoibhili Emmanuel Ehikioya

    (Department of Banking and Finance)

Abstract

This study examines the fiscal and macroeconomic effects of fuel subsidy removal in Nigeria during the postsubsidy period (2023–2025), focusing on fiscal reallocation and economic growth. Using annual time-series data for 2023–2025 and an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, the study investigates whether fiscal savings from subsidy elimination are redirected to productive sectors and how these allocations affect economic growth. Empirical findings indicate that subsidy removal significantly improves fiscal savings and partially enhances fiscal reallocation to capital and social sector spending. Fiscal reallocation positively influences economic growth, although short-term inflationary pressures and exchange rate depreciation moderate the benefits. The study concludes that fuel subsidy removal can promote sustainable growth if accompanied by effective fiscal reallocation, macroeconomic stability, and social protection policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Diri, Darapu Tumini & Chibuogwu, Dupe Ejabena PhD. & Nwosu, Eleazar Chimezie & Otoibhili Emmanuel Ehikioya, 2026. "Fuel Subsidy Removal and Fiscal Reallocation in Nigeria (2023–2025): Implications for Economic Growth," International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation, International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation (IJRSI), vol. 13(2), pages 321-328, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:bjc:journl:v:13:y:2026:i:2:p:321-328
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    References listed on IDEAS

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