IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bba/j00010/v4y2025i1p18-32d437.html

The Impact of Climate Risk on Investment Returns of Listed Companies: Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Qiang Song

    (State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control & Resource Reuse, School of Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China)

Abstract

In recent years, as global climate change intensifies and ESG investment concepts gain prominence, climate risk has become a crucial factor for investors and financial markets. Investigating how climate risk is priced in the Chinese capital market is both theoretically and practically important for promoting the sustainable development of China's capital markets and advancing green finance. This study employs natural language processing (NLP) to quantify the proportion of climate risk-related content in the annual reports of listed companies, creating an indicator to assess their climate risk level. The study uses climate risk of listed companies as the explanatory variable and annual stock returns as the dependent variable, applying a fixed-effects model to empirically examine the impact of climate risk on investment returns. The study finds that: first, the climate risk of listed companies shows a clear trend of change over time; second, there is a significant positive correlation between the climate risk of listed companies and investment returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Qiang Song, 2025. "The Impact of Climate Risk on Investment Returns of Listed Companies: Evidence from China," Review of Economic Assessment, Anser Press, vol. 4(1), pages 18-32, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bba:j00010:v:4:y:2025:i:1:p:18-32:d:437
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.anserpress.org/journal/rea/4/1/44/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.anserpress.org/journal/rea/4/1/44
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wu, Qingyang & Wang, Yanying, 2022. "How does carbon emission price stimulate enterprises' total factor productivity? Insights from China's emission trading scheme pilots," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    2. Yida Sun & Shupeng Zhu & Daoping Wang & Jianping Duan & Hui Lu & Hao Yin & Chang Tan & Lingrui Zhang & Mengzhen Zhao & Wenjia Cai & Yong Wang & Yixin Hu & Shu Tao & Dabo Guan, 2024. "Global supply chains amplify economic costs of future extreme heat risk," Nature, Nature, vol. 627(8005), pages 797-804, March.
    3. Naseer, Mirza Muhammad & Guo, Yongsheng & Bagh, Tanveer & Zhu, Xiaoxian, 2024. "Sustainable investments in volatile times: Nexus of climate change risk, ESG practices, and market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Ting & Ding, Chante Jian & Ahmed, Abdullahi D., 2026. "The dark side of green innovation policy on energy consumption: From technology substitution effect perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ying Zhang & Yingli Huang, 2023. "Killing Two Birds with One Stone or Missing One of Them? The Synergistic Governance Effect of China’s Carbon Emissions Trading Scheme on Pollution Control and Carbon Emission Reduction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-25, June.
    2. Xiaoyue Qiu & Yaming Zhuang & Xiaqun Liu, 2025. "Climate Risk and Corporate Debt Financing: Evidence from Chinese A-Share-Listed Firms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-27, April.
    3. Li, Haoran & Wu, Yiwei & Xin, Baogui & Xu, Min & Wu, Shining, 2025. "Optimal operational and carbon neutrality strategies for private hospitals: A multi-objective approach considering patient flow," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    4. Sun, Chuanwang & Tie, Ying & Yu, Lili, 2024. "How to achieve both environmental protection and firm performance improvement: Based on China's carbon emissions trading (CET) policy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    5. Chu, Baoju & Dong, Yizhe & Liu, Yaorong & Ma, Diandian & Wang, Tianju, 2024. "Does China's emission trading scheme affect corporate financial performance: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    6. He, Yongda & Du, Anna Min & Lin, Boqiang & Scrimgeour, Frank, 2025. "Energy-capital substitution, technological innovation, and monetary policy," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    7. Bianca Biess & Lukas Gudmundsson & Sonia I. Seneviratne, 2026. "Global economic exposure to climate change amplified by spatially compounding climate extremes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 17(1), pages 1-11, December.
    8. Xue Lei & Jian Xu & Ziyan Zhang, 2025. "Can the Energy Rights Trading System Become the New Engine for Corporate Carbon Reduction? Evidence from China’s Heavy-Polluting Industries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(18), pages 1-19, September.
    9. Niu, Niu & Zhang, Bin & Song, Yanwu & Boateng, Agyenim, 2025. "Climate policy uncertainty and ESG performance of energy firms: The moderating effect of cloud computing technology," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 108(PA).
    10. Yang, Lian-Xing & Zhang, Yin-Ting & Chen, Mo-Lei, 2025. "Impact of temperature variability on supply chain resilience in China: Mechanisms and insights," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    11. Yu, Jian & Liu, Peng & Fu, Dahai & Shi, Xunpeng, 2023. "How do power shortages affect CO2 emission intensity? Firm-level evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    12. Guoen Xia & Zenghui Yu & Xuwu Peng, 2023. "How Does Enterprise Digital Transformation Affect Total Factor Productivity? Based on the Information Intermediary Role of Analysts’ Attention," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-22, May.
    13. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Cheng, Hao-Sen & Wang, Xia & Liu, Jing-Yue, 2025. "The impact of China’s carbon emissions trading system on energy justice," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 483-492.
    14. Tian, Jinfang & Sun, Siyang & Cao, Wei & Bu, Di & Xue, Rui, 2024. "Make every dollar count: The impact of green credit regulation on corporate green investment efficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    15. Amane Saito & Hisashi Tanizaki, 2025. "EU carbon price volatility from the COVID-19 pandemic," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 5(12), pages 1-29, December.
    16. Zhou, Xiaoxiao & Zhao, Yongan & Chen, Dengsheng, 2025. "Emissions trading scheme's effect on enterprises' sustainable development in China: A differential game and a quasi-natural experiment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    17. Zhichao Ma & Jie Zhang & Huanhuan Wang & Shaochan Gao, 2023. "Optimization of Sustainable Bi-Objective Cold-Chain Logistics Route Considering Carbon Emissions and Customers’ Immediate Demands in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-23, March.
    18. Niu, Xiaoyan & Zhang, Yuwen & Li, Baoqi & Chen, Zhenling & Ni, Guohua & Lyu, Ning, 2024. "How does carbon emission trading scheme affect enterprise market value? A roadmap towards natural resources sustainability," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    19. Fan, Dian & Chen, Shaoqing, 2024. "No pain, no gain? Simulation of carbon reduction potential and socioeconomic effects of voluntary carbon trading in China during 2021–2060," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 375(C).
    20. Otto, Christian & Schult, Christoph & Vogt, Thomas, 2025. "Climate change economics in Vietnam: Redefining economic impact," IWH Discussion Papers 15/2025, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bba:j00010:v:4:y:2025:i:1:p:18-32:d:437. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ramona Wang (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.anserpress.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.