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Many Dropouts ? Never Mind ! - Employment Prospects of Dropouts from Training Programs

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  • Marie Paul

Abstract

The employment effects of training programs for the unemployed are frequently studied, but little is known about the number, the characteristics, and the labor market prospects of those who drop out of these programs. The aim of this paper is to contribute to filling this gap. Dropouts are identified in German administrative data. The medium- and long-term effect of dropout is estimated using a bivariate dynamic random effects probit model which takes into account state dependence and selection on unobservables. The model is estimated with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Marie Paul, 2015. "Many Dropouts ? Never Mind ! - Employment Prospects of Dropouts from Training Programs," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 119-120, pages 235-267.
  • Handle: RePEc:adr:anecst:y:2015:i:119-120:p:235-267
    DOI: 10.15609/annaeconstat2009.119-120.235
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    File URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/10.15609/annaeconstat2009.119-120.235
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    Cited by:

    1. Heyer, Gerd & Koch, Susanne & Stephan, Gesine & Wolff, Joachim, 2011. "Evaluation der aktiven Arbeitsmarktpolitik: Ein Sachstandsbericht für die Instrumentenreform 2011 (Evaluation of active labor market programs : a summary of recent results for the German program refor," IAB Discussion Paper 201117, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    2. Paul, Marie & Dörr, Annabelle & Fitzenberger, Bernd & Kruppe, Thomas & Strittmatter, Anthony, 2013. "The Award of a Training Voucher and Labor Market Outcomes," Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79918, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Gerd Heyer & Susanne Koch & Gesine Stephan & Joachim Wolff, 2012. "Evaluation der aktiven Arbeitsmarktpolitik: Ein Sachstandsbericht für die Instrumentenreform 2011," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 45(1), pages 41-62, March.

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