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The information content of central bank interest rate projections: Evidence from New Zealand
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- Michael Frenkel & Jin-Kyu Jung & Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2017. "Rationalizing the Bias in Central Banks' Interest Rate Projections," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 17-03, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
- Åhl, Magnus, 2017. "How big is the toolbox of a central banker? Managing expectations with policy-rate forecasts: Evidence from Sweden," Working Paper Series 339, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2023. "Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey," Staff Working Papers 23-18, Bank of Canada.
- Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert & Lamla, Michael J. & Wood, Andrew, 2019.
"The implications of central bank transparency for uncertainty and disagreement,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 222-240.
- Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert & Lamla, Michael J & Wood, Andrew, 2018. "The Implications of Central Bank Transparency for Uncertainty and Disagreement," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 23347, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Boonlert Jitmaneeroj & Michael Lamla, 2018. "The Implications of Central Bank Transparency for Uncertainty and Disagreement," KOF Working papers 18-445, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Michael Frenkel & Jin-Kyu Jung & Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2022. "Testing for the rationality of central bank interest rate forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1037-1078, March.
- Santiago Moreno-Bromberg & Luca Taschini, 2011.
"Pollution permits, Strategic Trading and Dynamic Technology Adoption,"
Papers
1103.2914, arXiv.org.
- Santiago Moreno-Bromberg & Luca Taschini, 2011. "Pollution Permits, Strategic Trading and Dynamic Technology Adoption," CESifo Working Paper Series 3399, CESifo.
- Santiago Moreno-Bromberg & Luca Taschini, 2011. "Pollution permits, strategic trading and dynamic technology adoption," GRI Working Papers 45, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
- Moreno-Bromberg, Santiago & Taschini, Luca, 2011. "Pollution permits, strategic trading and dynamic technology adoption," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 37581, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Santiago Moreno-Bromberg & Luca Taschini, 2011. "Pollution permits, Strategic Trading and Dynamic Technology Adoption," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-042, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Sven Tischer & Lutz Hildebrandt, 2011. "Linking corporate reputation and shareholder value using the publication of reputation rankings," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-065, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Gökhan Cebiroğlu & Ulrich Horst, 2011. "Optimal Display of Iceberg Orders," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-057, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Luc Bauwens & Christian M. Hafner & Diane Pierret, 2013.
"Multivariate Volatility Modeling Of Electricity Futures,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 743-761, August.
- BAUWENS, Luc & HAFNER, Christian & pierret, Diane, 2011. "Multivariate volatility modeling of electricity futures," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011011, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- BAUWENS, Luc & HAFNER, Christian M. & PIERRET, Diane, 2013. "Multivariate volatility modeling of electricity futures," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2526, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Luc Bauwens & Christian M. Hafner & Diane Pierret, 2011. "Multivariate Volatility Modeling of Electricity Futures," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-063, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Bauwens, L. & Hafner, C. & Pierret, D., 2011. "Multivariate volatility modeling of electricity futures," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2011013, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
- Boris Hofmann & Dora Xia, 2022. "Quantitative forward guidance through interest rate projections," BIS Working Papers 1009, Bank for International Settlements.
- Detmers, Gunda-Alexandra & Nautz, Dieter, 2013. "How Stale Central Bank Interest Rate Projections Affect Interest Rate Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79861, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Ulrich Bindseil & Philipp Johann König, 2011. "The economics of TARGET2 balances," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-035, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Fiocco, Raffaele & Scarpa, Carlo, 2014.
"The regulation of markets with interdependent demands,"
Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 1-12.
- Raffaele Fiocco & Carlo Scarpa, 2011. "The Regulation of Interdependent Markets," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-046, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Gunda‐Alexandra Detmers & Ozer Karagedikli & Richhild Moessner, 2021.
"Quantitative or Qualitative Forward Guidance: Does it Matter?,"
The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 97(319), pages 491-503, December.
- Gunda-Alexandra Detmers & Özer Karagedikli & Richhild Moessner, 2018. "Quantitative or Qualitative Forward Guidance: Does it Matter?," CESifo Working Paper Series 7314, CESifo.
- Gunda-Alexandra Detmers & Özer Karagedikli & Richhild Moessner, 2018. "Quantitative or qualitative forward guidance: Does it matter?," BIS Working Papers 742, Bank for International Settlements.
- Gunda-Alexandra Detmers & Özer Karagedikli & Richhild Moessner, 2018. "Quantitative or qualitative forward guidance: Does it matter?," CAMA Working Papers 2018-36, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Richhild Moessner & David-Jan Jansen & Jakob de Haan, 2017. "Communication About Future Policy Rates In Theory And Practice: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 678-711, July.
- Raffaele Fiocco, 2012.
"Competition and regulation with product differentiation,"
Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 287-307, December.
- Raffaele Fiocco, 2011. "Competition and regulation in a differentiated good market," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-084, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- R. Erasmus & H. Hollander, 2020.
"A Forward Guidance Indicator For The South African Reserve Bank: Implementing A Text Analysis Algorithm,"
Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(3), pages 41-72, December.
- Ruan Erasmus & Hylton Hollander, 2020. "A Forward Guidance Indicator For The South African Reserve Bank: Implementing A Text Analysis Algorithm," Working Papers 04/2020, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Bocart, Fabian Y.R.P. & Hafner, Christian M., 2012.
"Econometric analysis of volatile art markets,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3091-3104.
- BOCART, Fabian Y. R. P. & HAFNER, Christian, 2011. "Econometric analysis of volatile art markets," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011052, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Bocart, Fabian & Hafner, Christian, 2012. "Econometric analysis of volatile art markets," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2012020, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
- Fabian Y. R. P. Bocart & Christian M. Hafner, 2011. "Econometric analysis of volatile art markets," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-071, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- BOCART, F. & HAFNER, Christian, 2011. "Econometric analysis of volatile art markets," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2011029, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
- Raffaele Fiocco & Mario Gilli, 2012.
"Bargaining and Collusion in a Regulatory Model,"
Chapters, in: Joseph E. Harrington Jr & Yannis Katsoulacos (ed.), Recent Advances in the Analysis of Competition Policy and Regulation, chapter 12,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Raffaele Fiocco & Mario Gilli, 2011. "Bargaining and Collusion in a Regulatory Model," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-047, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Raffaele Fiocco & Mario Gilli, 2011. "Bargaining and Collusion in a Regulatory Model," Working Papers 207, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2011.
- Clemens J. M. Kool & Daniel L. Thornton, 2015.
"How Effective Is Central Bank Forward Guidance?,"
Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 97(4), pages 303-322.
- Clemens J. M. Kool & Daniel L. Thornton, 2012. "How effective is central bank forward guidance?," Working Papers 2012-063, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Clemens J. M. Kool Author-Name-First Clemens J. M. & Daniel L. Thornton Author-Name-First Daniel L., 2014. "How Effective Is Central Bank Forward Guidance?," Working Papers CASMEF 1405, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
- C.J.M. Kool & D.L. Thornton, 2012. "How Effective Is Central Bank Forward Guidance?," Working Papers 12-05, Utrecht School of Economics.
- Mammen, Enno & Rothe, Christoph & Schienle, Melanie, 2016.
"Semiparametric Estimation With Generated Covariates,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(5), pages 1140-1177, October.
- Mammen, Enno & Rothe, Christoph & Schienle, Melanie, 2011. "Semiparametric Estimation with Generated Covariates," IZA Discussion Papers 6084, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Enno Mammen & Christoph Rothe & Melanie Schienle, 2014. "Semiparametric Estimation with Generated Covariates," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2014-043, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Enno Mammen & Christoph Rothe & Melanie Schienle, 2011. "Semiparametric Estimation with Generated Covariates," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-064, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Mammen, Enno & Rothe, Christoph & Schienle, Melanie, 2016. "Semiparametric estimation with generated covariates," Working Paper Series in Economics 81, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
- Detmers, Gunda-Alexandra & Nautz, Dieter, 2014.
"Stale forward guidance,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(3), pages 358-361.
- Gunda-Alexandra Detmers & Dieter Nautz, 2014. "Stale Forward Guidance," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2014-027, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Lars E.O. Svensson, 2014.
"Forward Guidance,"
NBER Working Papers
20796, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Svensson, Lars E.O., 2015. "Forward Guidance," CEPR Discussion Papers 10669, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Santiago Moreno-Bromberg & Traian A. Pirvu & Anthony Réveillac, 2011. "CRRA Utility Maximization under Risk Constraints," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-043, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Julia Schaumburg & Melanie Schienle, 2015.
"Financial Network Systemic Risk Contributions,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 19(2), pages 685-738.
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Julia Schaumburg & Melanie Schienle, 2011. "Financial Network Systemic Risk Contributions," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-072, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Julia Schaumburg & Melanie Schienle, 2012. "Financial Network Systemic Risk Contributions," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2012-053, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Schaumburg, Julia & Schienle, Melanie, 2013. "Financial network systemic risk contributions," CFS Working Paper Series 2013/20, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Patrick Cheridito & Ulrich Horst & Michael Kupper & Traian A. Pirvu, 2011. "Equilibrium Pricing in Incomplete Markets under Translation Invariant Preferences," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-083, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Moessner, Richhild, 2015. "Reactions of US government bond yields to explicit FOMC forward guidance," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 217-233.
- Wolfgang Härdle & Maria Osipenko, 2011. "Pricing Chinese rain: a multi-site multi-period equilibrium pricing model for rainfall derivatives," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-055, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Aurélie Bertrand & Christian Hafner, 2014.
"On heterogeneous latent class models with applications to the analysis of rating scores,"
Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 307-330, February.
- Aurélie Bertrand & Christian M. Hafner, 2011. "On heterogeneous latent class models with applications to the analysis of rating scores," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-062, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Bertrand, Aurelie & Hafner, Christian, 2014. "On heterogeneous latent class models with applications to the analysis of rating scores," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2014027, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
- Bertrand, Aurelie & Hafner, Christian, 2011. "On heterogeneous latent class models with applications to the analysis of rating scores," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2011028, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
- Felix Naujokat & Ulrich Horst, 2011. "When to Cross the Spread: Curve Following with Singular Control," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-053, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Richhild Moessner & David-Jan Jansen & Jakob de Haan, 2017.
"Communication About Future Policy Rates In Theory And Practice: A Survey,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 678-711, July.
- Richhild Moessner & David-Jan Jansen & Jakob de Haan, 2015. "Communication about future policy rates in theory and practice: A Survey," DNB Working Papers 475, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Alex Isakov & Petr Grishin & Oleg Gorlinsky, 2018. "Fear of Forward Guidance," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(4), pages 84-106, December.
- Markus Bibinger, 2011. "An estimator for the quadratic covariation of asynchronously observed Itô processes with noise: Asymptotic distribution theory," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-034, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Galati, Gabriele & Moessner, Richhild, 2021.
"Effects of Fed policy rate forecasts on real yields and inflation expectations at the zero lower bound,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
- Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner, 2020. "Effects of Fed policy rate forecasts on real yields and inflation expectations at the zero lower bound," BIS Working Papers 873, Bank for International Settlements.
- Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner, 2020. "Effects of Fed policy rate forecasts on real yields and inflation expectations at the zero lower bound," Working Papers 690, DNB.
- Ray-Bing Chen & Ying Chen & Wolfgang Härdle, 2011. "TVICA - Time Varying Independent Component Analysis and Its Application to Financial Data," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-054, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Dorothee Schneider, 2011. "The Labor Share: A Review of Theory and Evidence," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-069, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Ruihong Huang, 2011. "Limit Order Flow, Market Impact and Optimal Order Sizes: Evidence from NASDAQ TotalView-ITCH Data," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-056, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Lars Winkelmann, 2013. "Quantitative forward guidance and the predictability of monetary policy - A wavelet based jump detection approach -," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2013-016, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Detmers, Gunda-Alexandra, 2016. "Forward Guidance under Disagreement - Evidence from the Fed’s dot projections," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145768, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Markus Bibinger, 2011. "Asymptotics of Asynchronicity," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-033, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Anand, Kartik & Gai, Prasanna & Marsili, Matteo, 2012.
"Rollover risk, network structure and systemic financial crises,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1088-1100.
- Kartik Anand & Prasanna Gai & Matteo Marsili, 2011. "Rollover risk, network structure and systemic financial crises," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-052, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Gunda-Alexandra Detmers, 2016. "Forward Guidance under Disagreement - Evidence from the Fed's Dot Projections," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2016-041, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Alexander Meyer-Gohde, 2011. "Monetary Policy, Determinacy, and the Natural Rate Hypothesis," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-049, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Stephan Stahlschmidt & Helmut Tausendteufel & Wolfgang K. Härdle, 2011. "Bayesian Networks and Sex-related Homicides," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-045, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Lars E.O. Svensson, 2015. "Day One Keynote Address: Forward Guidance," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(4), pages 19-64, September.
- Gregor Heyne & Michael Kupper & Christoph Mainberger, 2011. "Minimal Supersolutions of BSDEs with Lower Semicontinuous Generators," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-067, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Ulrich Horst & Michael Kupper & Andrea Macrina & Christoph Mainberger, 2011. "Continuous Equilibrium under Base Preferences and Attainable Initial Endowments," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2011-082, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Richhild Moessner & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2019. "The zero lower bound, forward guidance and how markets respond to news," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
- Moessner, Richhild, 2013. "Effects of explicit FOMC policy rate guidance on interest rate expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 170-173.
- Jin-Kyu Jung & Michael Frenkel & Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2019. "On the consistency of central banks´ interest rate forecasts," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 701-716.
- Jakub Rybacki, 2019. "Does Forward Guidance Matter in Small Open Economies? Examples from Europe," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 4(1), pages 1-26, June.