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The Production Function Methodology for Calculating Potential Growth Rates & Output Gaps

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Federico Bassi, 2020. "Chronic Excess Capacity and Unemployment Hysteresis in EU Countries. A Structural Approach," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def091, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
  2. Albonico, Alice & Calès, Ludovic & Cardani, Roberta & Croitorov, Olga & Ferroni, Filippo & Giovannini, Massimo & Hohberger, Stefan & Pataracchia, Beatrice & Pericoli, Filippo & Raciborski, Rafal & Rat, 2017. "The Global Multi-Country Model (GM): an Estimated DSGE Model for the Euro Area Countries," Working Papers 2017-10, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
  3. Atanas Hristov & Christophe Planas & Werner Roeger & Alessandro Rossi, 2017. "NAWRU Estimation Using Structural Labour Market Indicators," European Economy - Discussion Papers 069, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  4. Alessandro Cianci, 2016. "Disoccupazione strutturale in Italia e regole europee di bilancio," a/ Working Papers Series 1601, Italian Association for the Study of Economic Asymmetries, Rome (Italy).
  5. Hielscher Kai, 2016. "Growth in European Crisis Countries: Cyclical Normality or the Result of Structural Reforms?," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 67(1), pages 1-23, May.
  6. repec:clr:wugarc:y:2016v:42i:03p:451 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. Tino Berger & Christian Ochsner, 2022. "Tracking the German Business Cycle," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202212, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  8. Larch, Martin & Cugnasca, Alessandro & Kumps, Diederik & Orseau, Eloïse, 2019. "Fiscal policy and the assessment of output gaps in real time: An exercise in risk management," ZEW Discussion Papers 19-013, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  9. Hennecke, Peter, 2017. "Zinstransmission in der Niedrigzinsphase: Eine empirische Untersuchung des Zinskanals in Deutschland," Thuenen-Series of Applied Economic Theory 150, University of Rostock, Institute of Economics.
  10. Marko Melolinna & Máté Tóth, 2019. "Output gaps, inflation and financial cycles in the UK," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1039-1070, March.
  11. Campiglio, Luigi Pierfranco, 2015. "Employment and the “Investment Gap”: An Econometric Model of European Imbalances," MPRA Paper 64113, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Heinz Gebhardt & Lars-H. R. Siemers, 2018. "Zur strukturellen Finanzlage der Laender: eine aktuelle Auswertung und Methodenkritik," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201837, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  13. Josef Baumgartner & Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2016. "Moderate Economic Growth – Unemployment Remaining High. Medium-term Forecast for the Austrian Economy Until 2021," WIFO Bulletin, WIFO, vol. 21(19), pages 185-201, December.
  14. Gilles Mourre & Aurélien Poissonnier, 2019. "What Drives the Responsiveness of the Budget Balance to the Business Cycle in EU Countries?," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 54(4), pages 237-249, July.
  15. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Michael Klien & Stefan Schiman, 2019. "Economic Growth Remains Low, but Stable. Medium-term Forecast of the Austrian Economy Until 2024," WIFO Bulletin, WIFO, vol. 24(12), pages 99-117, December.
  16. Philipp Heimberger & Jakob Kapeller, 2017. "The performativity of potential output: pro-cyclicality and path dependency in coordinating European fiscal policies," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(5), pages 904-928, September.
  17. Salnikov, Vladimir & Galimov, Dmitry & Mikheeva, Olga & Gnidchenko, Andrey & Rybalka, Alexey, 2017. "Russian manufacturing production capacity: Primary trends and structural characteristics," Russian Journal of Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(3), pages 240-262.
  18. Feld, Lars P. & Hirsch, Patrick F. & Köhler, Ekkehard A. & Wolfinger, Julia & Döhrn, Roland & Fuest, Angela & Micheli, Martin, 2017. "Auswirkungen der Rettungsprogramme auf die Wettbewerbsfähigkeit der Programmländer Portugal und Irland. Endbericht," RWI Projektberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, number 177813.
  19. Kai Carstensen & Felix Kießner & Thies Rossian, 2023. "Estimation of the TFP Gap for the Largest Five EMU Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 10245, CESifo.
  20. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hoffmann, Timo & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Reents, Jan & Sonnenberg, Nils & Stamer, Vincent & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2023. "Mittelfristprojektion im Frühjahr 2023: Wachstumspfad flacht sich merklich ab," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 102, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  21. Álvarez, Luis J. & Gómez-Loscos, Ana, 2018. "A menu on output gap estimation methods," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 827-850.
  22. Fabrice Orlandi & Werner Roeger & Anna Thum-Thysen, 2018. "The Return of the European Wage Phillips Curve," European Economy - Discussion Papers 085, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  23. Barabas, György & Jessen, Robin & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstraß, Klaus, 2018. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2023: Wachstum auf des Messers Schneide," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 69(4), pages 23-38.
  24. Marius Clemens & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Claus Michelsen, 2020. "Fortschreibung der Kapazitätsauslastung in der TFP-Berechnung: Endbericht; Kurzexpertise im Auftrag des Bundesfinanzministeriums (fe 3/19)," DIW Berlin: Politikberatung kompakt, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 127, number pbk160, January.
  25. Violaine Faubert, 2021. "Is the Irish Phillips Curve broken?," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 52(4), pages 397-437.
  26. Hayk Karapetyan, 2019. "Estimating Potential Output at the Central Bank of Armenia," Working Papers 12, Central Bank of the Republic of Armenia.
  27. Christian M. Bender & Arne Heise, 2021. "Inhärente Instabilität: zur Rolle der Output-Lücke im Stabilitäts- und Wachstumspakt [Inherent Instability: The Role of the Output Gap in the Stability and Growth Pact]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 101(3), pages 213-220, March.
  28. Barabas, György & Kirsch, Florian & Schmidt, Torsten, 2022. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2026: Erhebliche Herausforderungen bei nachlassendem Potenzialwachstum," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 73(2), pages 33-44.
  29. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Simon Loretz & Stefan Schiman, 2018. "Wachstum schwächt sich ab. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2023," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 91(10), pages 713-731, October.
  30. Orsola Costantini, 2015. "The Cyclically Adjusted Budget: History and Exegesis of a Fateful Estimate," Working Papers Series 24, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
  31. Keiichiro Kobayashi & Daichi Shirai, 2017. "Debt-Ridden Borrowers and Economic Slowdown," CIGS Working Paper Series 17-002E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
  32. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2023. "Österreichs Wirtschaft wächst mittelfristig nur verhalten. Mittelfristige Prognose 2024 bis 2028," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 96(10), pages 667-683, October.
  33. Oliver Picek, 2017. "The "Magic Square" of Economic Policy measured by a Macroeconomic Performance Index," Working Papers 1702, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
  34. De Santis, Roberta & Esposito, Piero & Masi, Elena, 2017. "Are There Common Structural Determinants of Potential Output Growth in Europe?: An empirical exercise for 11 EMU countries," LEAP Working Papers 2017/4, Luiss Institute for European Analysis and Policy.
  35. Claudia Fontanari & Riccardo Pariboni, 2022. "Potential output measurement and structural unemployment (NAWRU) in the context of the European Union," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 16(1), pages 57-69, June.
  36. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Carstensen, Kai & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Rossian, Thies & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2019. "Schätzung von Produktionspotenzial und -lücke: Eine Analyse des EU-Verfahrens und mögliche Verbesserungen," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 193965, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  37. Werner Roeger & Kieran Mc Morrow & Atanas Hristov & Valerie Vandermeulen, 2019. "Output Gaps and Cyclical Indicator," European Economy - Discussion Papers 104, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  38. Takuji Kawamoto & Tatsuya Ozaki & Naoya Kato & Kohei Maehashi, 2017. "Methodology for Estimating Output Gap and Potential Growth Rate: An Update," Bank of Japan Research Papers 17-05-31, Bank of Japan.
  39. Iancu, Aurel & Olteanu, Dan, 2015. "Fiscal Consolidation by Austerity and EU Surveillance Policies," Working Papers of National Institute for Economic Research 151209, Institutul National de Cercetari Economice (INCE).
  40. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Carstensen, Kai & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Rossian, Thies & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2019. "Schätzung von Produktionspotenzial und -lücke: Eine Analyse des EU-Verfahrens und mögliche Verbesserungen," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 19, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  41. Plödt, Martin & Reicher, Claire A., 2015. "Estimating fiscal policy reaction functions: The role of model specification," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 113-128.
  42. Mariarosaria Comunale & Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen & Soroosh Soofi-Siavash, 2019. "Convergence and growth decomposition: an analysis on Lithuania," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 17, Bank of Lithuania.
  43. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik & Margit Schratzenstaller, 2015. "Mäßiges Wirtschaftswachstum mit hoher Arbeitslosigkeit. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2020," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 88(10), pages 779-796, October.
  44. Fioramanti, Marco, 2016. "Potential Output, Output Gap and Fiscal Stance: is the EC estimation of the NAWRU too sensitive to be reliable?," MPRA Paper 73762, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Sep 2016.
  45. Peter Hennecke, 2021. "The ECB’s New Monetary Policy Strategy," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 56(5), pages 295-298, September.
  46. Cecilia Jona-Lasinio & Stefano Schiavo & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2019. "How to revive productivity growth?," EconPol Policy Reports 13, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  47. Larch, Martin & Kumps, Diederik & Cugnasca, Alessandro, 2021. "Fiscal stabilisation in real time: An exercise in risk management," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  48. Brian Micallef, 2017. "Empirical Estimates of Okun¡¯s Law in Malta," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 4(1), pages 138-148, January.
  49. Reinhard Neck & Klaus Weyerstrass & Dmitri Blueschke & Miroslav Verbič, 2021. "Demand-side or supply-side stabilisation policies in a small euro area economy: a case study for Slovenia," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(3), pages 593-610, August.
  50. Pablo Burriel & Víctor González-Díez & Jorge Martínez-Pagés & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2021. "Real-time analysis of the revisions to the structural position of public finances," Occasional Papers 2108, Banco de España.
  51. Fioramanti, Marco & Waldmann, Robert J., 2017. "The Econometrics of the EU Fiscal Governance: is the European Commission methodology still adequate?," MPRA Paper 81858, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  52. Marcell Göttert & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2021. "Survey-Based Structural Budget Balances," EconPol Working Paper 59, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  53. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Mösle, Saskia & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2020. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Herbst 2020. Wachstumspfad flacht sich ab - zusätzliche Risiken durch die Pandemie," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 72, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  54. Tommaso Proietti & Marco Fioramanti & Cecilia Frale & Libero Monteforte, 2020. "A Systemic Approach to Estimating the Output Gap for the Italian Economy," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 62(3), pages 465-493, September.
  55. Josef Baumgartner & Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2016. "Mäßiges Wirtschaftswachstum – Arbeitslosigkeit hoch. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2021," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 89(10), pages 729-746, October.
  56. Miguel Viegas & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2017. "Fiscal Consolidations: A Theoretical Essay with a Heterogeneous-Agent Model," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 206-223, April.
  57. Barabas, György & Döhrn, Roland & Gebhardt, Heinz & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstraß, Klaus, 2017. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2021: Anhaltende Überauslastung der Kapazitäten in Deutschland," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 68(2), pages 17-34.
  58. Marcell Göttert, 2018. "Tax Revenues Will Increase Slightly in the Next Few Years – Results of the October 2018 Tax Estimate," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(22), pages 42-46, November.
  59. Guido Bulligan & Lorenzo Burlon & Davide Delle Monache & Andrea Silvestrini, 2019. "Real and financial cycles: estimates using unobserved component models for the Italian economy," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 28(3), pages 541-569, September.
  60. Hennecke, Peter, 2017. "The interest rate pass-through in the low interest rate environment: Evidence from Germany," Thuenen-Series of Applied Economic Theory 151, University of Rostock, Institute of Economics.
  61. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik & Stefan Schiman, 2017. "Deutlich verbesserte Wachstumsaussichten. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2022," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 90(10), pages 763-781, October.
  62. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Mösle, Saskia & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenburg, U, 2019. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Frühjahr 2019 - Deutsche Wirtschaft im Abschwung," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 54, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  63. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Hoffmann, Timo, 2023. "Vorschläge zur Modifikation der Potenzialschätzung der Bundesregierung im Vergleich," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 45, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  64. Stefanie Braun, 2021. "Effects of Preferential Tax Treatment on German Homeownership," Working Papers 209, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
  65. Mellár, Tamás & Németh, Kristóf, 2018. "A kibocsátási rés becslése többváltozós állapottérmodellekben. Szuperhiszterézis és további empirikus eredmények [Estimating output gap in multivariate state space models. Super-hysteresis and furt," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 557-591.
  66. Barabas, György & Gebhard, Heinz & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstraß, Klaus, 2016. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2020: Günstige Perspektiven für ein solides Wachstum," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 67(1), pages 111-124.
  67. Kieran Mc Morrow & Werner Roeger & Valerie Vandermeulen, 2017. "Evaluating Medium Term Forecasting Methods and their Implications for EU Output Gap Calculations," European Economy - Discussion Papers 070, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  68. N. N., 2015. "WIFO-Monatsberichte, Heft 10/2015," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 88(10), October.
  69. Dovern, Jonas & Zuber, Christopher, 2020. "How economic crises damage potential output – Evidence from the Great Recession," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  70. François Blondeau & Christophe Planas & Alessandro Rossi, 2021. "Output Gap Estimation Using the European Union’s Commonly Agreed Methodology Vade Mecum & Manual for the EUCAM Software," European Economy - Discussion Papers 148, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  71. Bianca PĂUNA & George GEORGESCU, 2021. "EU’s CAM and Potential GDP Estimates. Some Inconsistent Results in the Case of Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 5-16, December.
  72. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2015. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Herbst 2015 - Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Expansion übersteigt die Wachstumskräfte," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 12, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  73. Keiichiro Kobayashi & Daichi Shirai, 2012. "Debt-Ridden Borrowers and Productivity Slowdown," CIGS Working Paper Series 14-005E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
  74. Katja Heinisch & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "The European refugee crisis and the natural rate of output," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(16), pages 1138-1142, September.
  75. Luigi Bonatti Roberto Tamborini & Roberto Tamborini, 2021. "Is High Inflation the New Challenge for Central Banks?," DEM Working Papers 2021/14, Department of Economics and Management.
  76. Philipp Heimberger & Bernhard Schütz, 2022. "Die Budgetsemielastizität und ihre Auswirkungen auf Verschuldungsspielräume im Rahmen der Schuldenbremse [Budget Semi-Elasticity and its Impact on Debt Flexibility in the Context of the Debt Brake]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(11), pages 834-837, November.
  77. Peter Hördahl & Oreste Tristani, 2014. "Inflation Risk Premia in the Euro Area and the United States," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(3), pages 1-47, September.
  78. Barabas, György & Jessen, Robin & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstrass, Klaus, 2019. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2023: Produktionslücke bleibt in der mittleren Frist weitgehend geschlossen," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 70(2), pages 21-31.
  79. Cláudia Duarte & José R. Maria & Sharmin Sazedj, 2021. "Cyclical outputs and structural budget balances," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
  80. Susanne Maidorn, 2018. "Is there a trade-off between procyclicality and revisions in EC trend TFP estimations?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(1), pages 59-82, February.
  81. M. Deroose & A. Rannenberg & J. Wauters, 2019. "Separating the trend from the cycle : The debate on euro area potential output and implications for monetary policy," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-28, September.
  82. Davide Fantino & Sara Formai & Alessandro Mistretta, 2021. "Firm characteristics and potential output: a growth accounting approach," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 616, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  83. Kuusi, Tero & Puonti, Päivi, 2021. "Keep It Simple, Not Stupid – How to Save the EU Fiscal Framework?," ETLA Reports 120, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
  84. Mihnea Constantinescu & Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen, 2017. "Unemployment or Credit: Who Holds The Potential? Results From a Small-Open Economy," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 4, Bank of Lithuania.
  85. Halmai, Péter, 2015. "Az európai növekedési potenciál eróziója és válsága [Erosion and crisis in European growth potential]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 379-414.
  86. Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Jacek Kotłowski, 2021. "International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 773-798, August.
  87. Cronin, David & McQuinn, Kieran, 2021. "Are official forecasts of output growth in the EU still biased?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 337-349.
  88. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2016. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Herbst 2016 - Potenzialwachstum überschreitet Zenit," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 24, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  89. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Plödt, Martin & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2016. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Frühjahr 2016 - Potenzialwachstum vor Zwischenhoch," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 18, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  90. Alexandros Polycarpou, 2016. "The Output Gap in Cyprus and EU-28," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 10(1), pages 87-104, June.
  91. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Simon Loretz, 2023. "Rückgang der Energiepreise verbessert die Wachstumsaussichten. Update der mittelfristigen Prognose 2023 bis 2027," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 96(4), pages 235-248, April.
  92. Petr Malecek, 2021. "Effects Of Demographic Structure In Growth Accounting And Labour Market Decompositions," International Journal of Economic Sciences, European Research Center, vol. 10(2), pages 103-113, December.
  93. Eddie Casey, 2019. "Inside the "Upside Down": Estimating Ireland's Output Gap," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 5-34.
  94. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2015. "Economic Growth Remains Subdued, with High Unemployment Persisting. Medium-term Projection for the Austrian Economy until 2019," WIFO Bulletin, WIFO, vol. 20(12), pages 130-144, September.
  95. Roberta Santis & Piero Esposito & Elena Masi, 2019. "Structural determinants of potential output growth in Europe and the role of fiscal policy," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 565-591, October.
  96. Albonico, Alice & Calés, Ludovic & Cardani, Roberta & Croitorov, Olga & Ferroni, Filippo & Giovannini, Massimo & Hohberger, Stefan & Pataracchia, Beatrice & Pericoli, Filippo Maria & Raciborski, Rafal, 2019. "Comparing post-crisis dynamics across Euro Area countries with the Global Multi-country model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 242-273.
  97. Philipp Heimberger, 2016. "Das "strukturelle Defizit" in der österreichischen Budgetpolitik: Berechnungsprobleme, Revisionen und wirtschaftspolitische Relevanz," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 42(3), pages 451-463.
  98. Atanas Hristov & Werner Roeger, 2017. "On Econometrics with a Human Face and Business Cycles: A Reply to Fioramanti and Waldmann's Criticism on the EU’s NAWRU Methodology," European Economy - Economic Briefs 022, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  99. Andrejs Bessonovs & Olegs Tkacevs, 2016. "Relationship Between Inflation and Economic Activity and Its Variation Over Time in Latvia," Working Papers 2016/03, Latvijas Banka.
  100. Christian Gayer & Bertrand Marc, 2018. "A ‘New Modesty’? Level Shifts in Survey Data and the Decreasing Trend of ‘Normal’ Growth," European Economy - Discussion Papers 083, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  101. Barabas, György & Gebhardt, Heinz & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstraß, Klaus, 2016. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2021: Binnenwirtschaftliche Impulse bei erhöhter weltwirtschaftlicher Unsicherheit," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 67(4), pages 17-32.
  102. Kirsch, Florian & Barabas, György & Schmidt, Torsten C., 2022. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2027: Demografie dämpft zunehmend das Potenzialwachstum," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 73(4), pages 41-51.
  103. Werner Hölzl & Michael Klien & Agnes Kügler, 2020. "Konjunktureinschätzung bleibt über Sektoren hinweg uneinheitlich. Ergebnisse der Quartalsbefragung des WIFO-Konjunkturtests vom Jänner 2020," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 93(2), pages 89-99, February.
  104. Philipp Heimberger & Bernhard Schütz, 2022. "Evaluierung des Zusammenhangs von Produktionspotenzial und Budgetsemielastizität im Rahmen der deutschen Schuldenbremse," wiiw Research Reports in German language 22, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
  105. Cláudia Braz & Maria Manuel Campos, 2021. "Challenges in measuring fiscal effects," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
  106. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Christian Glocker & Walter Hyll & Hans Pitlik, 2020. "COVID-19-Pandemie dämpft die Konjunkturaussichten. Mittelfristige Prognose 2021 bis 2025," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 93(10), pages 731-753, October.
  107. Barabas, György & Gebhardt, Heinz & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstraß, Klaus, 2017. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2022: Hohe Kapazitätsauslastung birgt Stabilitätsrisiken," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 68(4), pages 39-53.
  108. Crafts, Nicholas & Mills, Terence C., 2017. "Trend TFP Growth in the United States: Forecasts versus Outcomes," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 329, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
  109. Werner Hölzl & Michael Klien & Agnes Kügler, 2019. "Konjunktur schwächt sich weiter ab. Ergebnisse der Quartalsbefragung des WIFO-Konjunkturtests vom Oktober 2019," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 92(11), pages 807-819, November.
  110. Barabas, György & Isaak, Niklas & Micheli, Martin, 2019. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2024: Potenzialwachstum wenig dynamisch," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 70(4), pages 23-33.
  111. Klaus Weyerstrass, 2018. "How to Boost Productivity in the EU," EconPol Policy Brief 08, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  112. Marco Gross & Willi Semmler, 2019. "Mind the Output Gap: The Disconnect of Growth and Inflation during Recessions and Convex Phillips Curves in the Euro Area," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(4), pages 817-848, August.
  113. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2018. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Frühjahr 2018 - Wachstum lässt nach: Konjunktur kühlt ab," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 42, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  114. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Marian Fink & Hans Pitlik & Silvia Rocha-Akis, 2021. "Strong Private Consumption Spurs Economic Growth. Medium-term Forecast of the Austrian Economy 2022 to 2026 Including the Tax Reform 2022 2024," WIFO Reports on Austria, WIFO, issue 13, November.
  115. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2022. "Ukraine-Krieg trübt die mittelfristigen Wirtschaftsaussichten. Update der mittelfristigen Prognose 2022 bis 2026," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 95(4), pages 233-245, April.
  116. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hoffmann, Timo & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Meuchelböck, Saskia & Reents, Jan & Sonnenberg, Nils & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2022. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Herbst 2022 - Energieknappheit lastet auf Produktionspotenzial," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 96, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  117. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik & Margit Schratzenstaller, 2015. "Moderate Growth with High Unemployment. Medium-term Forecast for the Austrian Economy until 2020," WIFO Bulletin, WIFO, vol. 20(27), pages 303-319, December.
  118. Igor Lebrun, 2015. "Working Paper 04-15 - Potential output growth in Belgium since the crisis - Lower and more uncertain," Working Papers 1504, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium.
  119. Josef Baumgartner & Marian Fink & Caroline Moreau & Silvia Rocha-Akis & Sarah Lappöhn & Kerstin Plank & Alexander Schnabl & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2020. "Wirkung der wirtschaftspolitischen Maßnahmen zur Abfederung der COVID-19-Krise. Mikro- und makroökonomische Analysen zur konjunkturellen, fiskalischen und verteilungspolitischen Wirkung," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66958, April.
  120. Zoltan Arokszallasi & Juraj Kotian & Katarzyna Rzentarzewska, 2018. "Digitalization and higher R&D readiness – way to foster income convergence in CESEE," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q3-18, pages 34-42.
  121. Sariola, Mikko, 2019. "An unobserved components model for Finland – Estimates of potential output and NAWRU," BoF Economics Review 2/2019, Bank of Finland.
  122. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Meuchelböck, Saskia & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2021. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Herbst 2021 - Demografie zehrt zunehmend am Wirtschaftswachstum," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 84, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  123. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Kilponen, Juha & Papadopoulou, Niki & Zimic, Srečko & Aldama, Pierre & Langenus, Geert & Alvarez, Luis Julian & Lemoine, Matthieu & Angelini, Elena, 2021. "Review of macroeconomic modelling in the Eurosystem: current practices and scope for improvement," Occasional Paper Series 267, European Central Bank.
  124. Emilian DOBRESCU, 2021. "Potential Output: A Market Conditionalities Interpretation," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-38, December.
  125. Silvia Fabiani & Stefano Federico & Alberto Felettigh, 2016. "Adjusting the external adjustment: cyclical factors and the Italian current account," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 346, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  126. Tóth, Máté, 2021. "A multivariate unobserved components model to estimate potential output in the euro area: a production function based approach," Working Paper Series 2523, European Central Bank.
  127. Sebastian Gechert & Katja Rietzler & Silke Tober, 2016. "The European Commission's new NAIRU: Does it deliver?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 6-10, January.
  128. Klaus Weyerstrass, 2018. "How to Boost Productivity in the EU," EconPol Policy Brief 8, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  129. Petr Malecek, 2021. "Effects Of Demographic Structure In Growth Accounting And Labour Market Decompositions," International Journal of Economic Sciences, European Research Center, vol. 10(2), pages 104-114, December.
  130. Fritz Breuss, 2015. "In Search of Growth in a Future with Diminished Expectations. The Case of Austria," WIFO Working Papers 493, WIFO.
  131. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Simon Loretz, 2022. "Energiepreisschock trübt auch mittelfristig die Wirtschaftsaussichten. Mittelfristige Prognose 2023 bis 2027," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 95(10), pages 643-661, October.
  132. Reinhard Neck & Klaus Weyerstrass & Dmitri Blueschke & Boris Majcen & Andrej Srakar & Miroslav Verbič, 2018. "How to Achieve the Take-off into Sustained Growth: A Case Study for Slovenia," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 24(2), pages 109-121, May.
  133. Marius Clemens & Stefan Gebauer & Tobias König, 2020. "The Macroeconomic Effects of a European Deposit (Re-) Insurance Scheme," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1873, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  134. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2015. "Wirtschaftswachstum weiterhin verhalten, Arbeitslosigkeit bleibt hoch. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2019," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 88(1), pages 51-66, January.
  135. S. N. Alpysbaeva & Sh. Zh. Shuneev & N. N. Zhanakova & A. A. Bakdolotov, 2021. "Potential GDP Modeling and Output Gap Estimation as a Basis for Countercyclical Fiscal Policy in Kazakhstan," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 445-453, July.
  136. Pönkä, Harri & Sariola, Mikko, 2021. "Output gaps and cyclical indicators: Finnish evidence," BoF Economics Review 6/2021, Bank of Finland.
  137. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Marian Fink & Margit Schratzenstaller, 2021. "Steuerreform 2022/2024 – Gesamtwirtschaftliche Wirkungen," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 94(12), pages 883-898, December.
  138. Heikki Oksanen, 2018. "New Output Gap Estimates for Assessing Fiscal Policy with Lessons for Euro Area Reform," CESifo Working Paper Series 7287, CESifo.
  139. Pablo Hernández de Cos & Aitor Lacuesta & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2016. "An exploration of real-time revisions of output gap estimates across European countries," Occasional Papers 1605, Banco de España.
  140. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik & Stefan Schiman, 2017. "Significantly Improved Growth Prospects. Medium-term Forecast for the Austrian Economy until 2022," WIFO Bulletin, WIFO, vol. 22(16), pages 155-172, December.
  141. Ringa Raudla & James W. Douglas, 2021. "Structural Budget Balance as a Fiscal Rule in the European Union—Good, Bad, or Ugly?," Public Budgeting & Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(1), pages 121-141, March.
  142. Dariusz Kotlewski & Mirosław Błażej, 2022. "Evidence for Middle‐Income Trap Non‐occurrence in the Light of KLEMS Growth Accounting for Poland," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 68(S1), pages 22-51, April.
  143. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72.
  144. Kirsch, Florian & Barabas, György & Jessen, Robin & Schmidt, Torsten, 2021. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2026: Mittelfristig nur verhaltene Ausweitung der Wirtschaftsleistung," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 72(4), pages 39-50.
  145. Constantinescu, Mihnea & Nguyen, Anh D.M., 2018. "Unemployment or credit: Which one holds the potential? Results for a small open economy with a low degree of financialization," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 649-664.
  146. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Michael Klien & Stefan Schiman, 2019. "Wirtschaftswachstum weiterhin niedrig, aber stabil. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2024," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 92(10), pages 737-755, October.
  147. Andrea Elekes, Péter Halmai, 2019. "How to overcome the crisis of the European growth potential? The role of the government," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 16(2), pages 313-334, December.
  148. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Meuchelböck, Saskia & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2021. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Frühjahr 2021 - Pandemiebedingte Potenzialschäden eher gering," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 78, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  149. Lorenzo Burlon & Paolo D'Imperio, 2019. "The euro-area output gap through the lens of a DSGE model," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 477, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  150. Nicholas Crafts, 2017. "Is Slow Economic Growth the ‘New Normal’ for Europe?," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 45(3), pages 283-297, September.
  151. Barabas, György & Gebhardt, Heinz & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstraß, Klaus, 2015. "Projektion der Wirtschaftsentwicklung bis 2020: Potenzialausweitung eröffnet die Möglichkeiten für ein solides Wirtschaftswachstum," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 66(3), pages 99-110.
  152. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Marian Fink & Hans Pitlik & Silvia Rocha-Akis, 2021. "Starker privater Konsum treibt das Wirtschaftswachstum. Mittelfristige Prognose 2022 bis 2026 unter Berücksichtigung der Steuerreform 2022/2024," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 94(10), pages 711-736, October.
  153. Pierre Aldama & Jérôme Creel, 2017. "Why Fiscal Regimes Matter for Fiscal Sustainability: An Application to France," Working Papers 2017.01, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
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  156. Robert Calvert Jump & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2019. "Reconsidering the natural rate hypothesis," FMM Working Paper 45-2019, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
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