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Predicting the costs of photovoltaic solar modules in 2020 using experience curve models

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  1. Libo Zhang & Qian Du & Dequn Zhou, 2021. "Grid Parity Analysis of China’s Centralized Photovoltaic Generation under Multiple Uncertainties," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-19, March.
  2. Zhang, Peipei & Sun, Mei & Zhang, Xiaoling & Gao, Cuixia, 2017. "Who are leading the change? The impact of China’s leading PV enterprises: A complex network analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 477-493.
  3. Mauleón, Ignacio, 2016. "Photovoltaic learning rate estimation: Issues and implications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 507-524.
  4. Santhakumar, Srinivasan & Smart, Gavin & Noonan, Miriam & Meerman, Hans & Faaij, André, 2022. "Technological progress observed for fixed-bottom offshore wind in the EU and UK," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
  5. Obara, Shin'ya & Morel Rios, Jorge Ricardo & Okada, Masaki, 2015. "Control of cyclic fluctuations in solid oxide fuel cell cogeneration accompanied by photovoltaics," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 994-1008.
  6. Buchholz, Wolfgang & Dippl, Lisa & Eichenseer, Michael, 2019. "Subsidizing renewables as part of taking leadership in international climate policy: The German case," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 765-773.
  7. Yoza, Akihiro & Yona, Atsushi & Senjyu, Tomonobu & Funabashi, Toshihisa, 2014. "Optimal capacity and expansion planning methodology of PV and battery in smart house," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 25-33.
  8. Nicodemus, Julia Haltiwanger, 2018. "Technological learning and the future of solar H2: A component learning comparison of solar thermochemical cycles and electrolysis with solar PV," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 100-109.
  9. Walwyn, David Richard & Brent, Alan Colin, 2015. "Renewable energy gathers steam in South Africa," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 390-401.
  10. Wei, Max & Smith, Sarah J. & Sohn, Michael D., 2017. "Experience curve development and cost reduction disaggregation for fuel cell markets in Japan and the US," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 346-357.
  11. Bustos, Cristian & Watts, David & Olivares, Daniel, 2019. "The evolution over time of Distributed Energy Resource’s penetration: A robust framework to assess the future impact of prosumage under different tariff designs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
  12. Lafond, François & Bailey, Aimee Gotway & Bakker, Jan David & Rebois, Dylan & Zadourian, Rubina & McSharry, Patrick & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2018. "How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 104-117.
  13. Grafström, Jonas & Poudineh, Rahmat, 2023. "No evidence of counteracting policy effects on European solar power invention and diffusion," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  14. Ruffini, Eleonora & Wei, Max, 2018. "Future costs of fuel cell electric vehicles in California using a learning rate approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 329-341.
  15. Ferreira, Agmar & Kunh, Sheila S. & Fagnani, Kátia C. & De Souza, Tiago A. & Tonezer, Camila & Dos Santos, Geocris Rodrigues & Coimbra-Araújo, Carlos H., 2018. "Economic overview of the use and production of photovoltaic solar energy in brazil," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 181-191.
  16. Strupeit, Lars, 2017. "An innovation system perspective on the drivers of soft cost reduction for photovoltaic deployment: The case of Germany," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 273-286.
  17. Sascha Samadi, 2016. "A Review of Factors Influencing the Cost Development of Electricity Generation Technologies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-25, November.
  18. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Inagaki, Yugo, 2018. "Empirical Analysis of Factors Influencing Price of Solar Modules," ADBI Working Papers 836, Asian Development Bank Institute.
  19. Samadi, Sascha, 2018. "The experience curve theory and its application in the field of electricity generation technologies – A literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 2346-2364.
  20. Elia, A. & Kamidelivand, M. & Rogan, F. & Ó Gallachóir, B., 2021. "Impacts of innovation on renewable energy technology cost reductions," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  21. Kim, Hansung & Lee, Hwarang & Koo, Yoonmo & Choi, Dong Gu, 2020. "Comparative analysis of iterative approaches for incorporating learning-by-doing into the energy system models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
  22. Strupeit, Lars & Neij, Lena, 2017. "Cost dynamics in the deployment of photovoltaics: Insights from the German market for building-sited systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 948-960.
  23. Xu, Mei & Xie, Pu & Xie, Bai-Chen, 2020. "Study of China's optimal solar photovoltaic power development path to 2050," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  24. Berry, Stephen & Davidson, Kathryn, 2016. "Improving the economics of building energy code change: A review of the inputs and assumptions of economic models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 157-166.
  25. Kim, Hansung & Cheon, Hyungkyu & Ahn, Young-Hwan & Choi, Dong Gu, 2019. "Uncertainty quantification and scenario generation of future solar photovoltaic price for use in energy system models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 370-379.
  26. Ouedraogo, Bachir I. & Kouame, S. & Azoumah, Y. & Yamegueu, D., 2015. "Incentives for rural off grid electrification in Burkina Faso using LCOE," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 573-582.
  27. Choi, Donghyun & Kim, Yeong Jae, 2023. "Local and global experience curves for lumpy and granular energy technologies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
  28. Farrell, Niall, 2021. "The increasing cost of ignoring Coase: Inefficient electricity tariffs, welfare loss and welfare-reducing technological change," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  29. Santhakumar, Srinivasan & Meerman, Hans & Faaij, André, 2021. "Improving the analytical framework for quantifying technological progress in energy technologies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  30. Berry, Stephen & Davidson, Kathryn, 2015. "Zero energy homes – Are they economically viable?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 12-21.
  31. Sommerfeldt, Nelson & Madani, Hatef, 2017. "Revisiting the techno-economic analysis process for building-mounted, grid-connected solar photovoltaic systems: Part one – Review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1379-1393.
  32. Tadeusz Skoczkowski & Sławomir Bielecki & Joanna Wojtyńska, 2019. "Long-Term Projection of Renewable Energy Technology Diffusion," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-24, November.
  33. Reinhard Haas & Marlene Sayer & Amela Ajanovic & Hans Auer, 2023. "Technological learning: Lessons learned on energy technologies," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(2), March.
  34. De Cian, Enrica & Buhl, Johannes & Carrara, Samuel & Michela Bevione, Michela & Monetti, Silvia & Berg, Holger, 2016. "Knowledge Creation between Integrated Assessment Models and Initiative-Based Learning - An Interdisciplinary Approach," MITP: Mitigation, Innovation and Transformation Pathways 249784, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
  35. Wang, Ge & Zhang, Qi & Li, Hailong & McLellan, Benjamin C. & Chen, Siyuan & Li, Yan & Tian, Yulu, 2017. "Study on the promotion impact of demand response on distributed PV penetration by using non-cooperative game theoretical analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(P2), pages 1869-1878.
  36. Nwokocha, Cecily O. & Okoro, Ugochukwu K. & Usoh, Chizomam I., 2018. "Photovoltaics in Nigeria – Awareness, attitude and expected benefit based on a qualitative survey across regions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 116(PA), pages 176-182.
  37. Abadeh, Abazar & Rejeb, Oussama & Sardarabadi, Mohammad & Menezo, Christophe & Passandideh-Fard, Mohammad & Jemni, Abdelmajid, 2018. "Economic and environmental analysis of using metal-oxides/water nanofluid in photovoltaic thermal systems (PVTs)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 1234-1243.
  38. Clò, Stefano & D'Adamo, Gaetano, 2015. "The dark side of the sun: How solar power production affects the market value of solar and gas sources," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 523-530.
  39. Chiara Modanese & Hannu S. Laine & Toni P. Pasanen & Hele Savin & Joshua M. Pearce, 2018. "Economic Advantages of Dry-Etched Black Silicon in Passivated Emitter Rear Cell (PERC) Photovoltaic Manufacturing," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-18, September.
  40. Armendariz-Lopez, J.F. & Luna-Leon, A. & Gonzalez-Trevizo, M.E. & Arena-Granados, A.P. & Bojorquez-Morales, G., 2016. "Life cycle cost of photovoltaic technologies in commercial buildings in Baja California, Mexico," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(P1), pages 564-571.
  41. Dong, Changgui & Sigrin, Benjamin & Brinkman, Gregory, 2017. "Forecasting residential solar photovoltaic deployment in California," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 251-265.
  42. Gao, Xue & Rai, Varun & Nemet, Gregory F., 2022. "The roles of learning mechanisms in services: Evidence from US residential solar installations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  43. Rong Wang & Sandra Hasanefendic & Elizabeth Von Hauff & Bart Bossink, 2023. "A System Dynamics Approach to Technological Learning Impact for the Cost Estimation of Solar Photovoltaics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-17, December.
  44. Hong, Soonpa & Yang, Taeyong & Chang, Hyun Joon & Hong, Sungjun, 2020. "The effect of switching renewable energy support systems on grid parity for photovoltaics: Analysis using a learning curve model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  45. Gan, Peck Yean & Li, ZhiDong, 2015. "Quantitative study on long term global solar photovoltaic market," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 88-99.
  46. Cartelle Barros, Juan José & Lara Coira, Manuel & de la Cruz López, María Pilar & del Caño Gochi, Alfredo, 2015. "Assessing the global sustainability of different electricity generation systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 473-489.
  47. Mauleón, Ignacio & Hamoudi, Hamid, 2017. "Photovoltaic and wind cost decrease estimation: Implications for investment analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 1054-1065.
  48. Grafström, Jonas & Aasma, Siri, 2020. "Breaking Circular Economy Barriers," Ratio Working Papers 338, The Ratio Institute.
  49. Wang, Rong & Hasanefendic, Sandra & Von Hauff, Elizabeth & Bossink, Bart, 2022. "The cost of photovoltaics: Re-evaluating grid parity for PV systems in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 469-481.
  50. Kavlak, Goksin & McNerney, James & Trancik, Jessika E., 2018. "Evaluating the causes of cost reduction in photovoltaic modules," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 700-710.
  51. Bocca, Alberto & Chiavazzo, Eliodoro & Macii, Alberto & Asinari, Pietro, 2015. "Solar energy potential assessment: An overview and a fast modeling approach with application to Italy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 291-296.
  52. Mayr, Dieter & Schmid, Erwin & Trollip, Hilton & Zeyringer, Marianne & Schmidt, Johannes, 2015. "The impact of residential photovoltaic power on electricity sales revenues in Cape Town, South Africa," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 10-23.
  53. Grafström, Jonas & Poudineh, Rahmat, 2023. "Invention and Diffusion in the Solar Power Sector," Ratio Working Papers 364, The Ratio Institute.
  54. Stefano Cló & Gaetano D’Adamo, 2014. "The Impact of Solar Penetration on Solar and Gas Market Value: an application to the Italian Power Market," Working Papers 1405, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
  55. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Inagaki, Yugo & Morgan, Peter J., 2021. "Analyzing the factors influencing the demand and supply of solar modules in Japan – Does financing matter," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-12.
  56. Zhang, Libo & Chen, Changqi & Wang, Qunwei & Zhou, Dequn, 2021. "The impact of feed-in tariff reduction and renewable portfolio standard on the development of distributed photovoltaic generation in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
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