Stabilization policy and business cycle phases in Europe: A Markov Switching VAR analysis
AbstractMost of the empirical studies dealing with international business cycles have disregarded the credibility issues that play an important role in the decision to join or not a monetary union. Most of empirical applications based on asymmetric shocks have failed to account for these aspects. In this paper, we tackle this problem by relying on a regime switching approach that characterizes the position of each economy in its business cycle. Then, using desynchronisation indices based on a non parametric approach, we measure the amplitude and the duration of divergence in the business cycles in order to assess the potential stabilization cost induced by the European economic and monetary union. --
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes in its series SFB 373 Discussion Papers with number 1999,91.
Date of creation: 1999
Date of revision:
Other versions of this item:
- Khalid Sekkat & Michel Beine & Bertrand Candelon, 2003. "Stabilization policy and business cycle phases in Europe: a Markov switching VAR analysis," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/7350, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
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