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Die wirtschaftliche Lage Rußlands: Wirtschaftspolitik muß jetzt endlich Wachstumserfolge vorweisen. Elfter Bericht

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  • Buch, Claudia M.
  • Heinrich, Ralph P.
  • Spinanger, Dean
  • Brücker, Herbert
  • Engerer, Hella
  • Lodahl, Maria
  • Schrettl, Wolfram
  • Schrooten, Mechthild
  • Gabrisch, Hubert
  • Linne, Thomas
  • Sigmund, Peter

Abstract

In ihren früheren Veröffentlichungen hatten die drei an diesem Bericht beteiligten Institute die zentrale Rolle einschneidender institutioneller Reformen für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung Rußlands betont. Mittlerweile scheint sich die Einschätzung der Institute zu bewahrheiten, daß im Jahr 1997 angesichts der Reformdefizite bestenfalls eine Stagnation des Bruttoinlandsprodukts (BIP) zu erwarten ist (DIW et al. 1997). Zwar sind im laufenden Jahr wirtschaftspolitische Fortschritte gemacht worden. Um einen dauerhaften Wachstumsprozeß einzuleiten, sind indes noch deutliche Signale, daß die institutionellen Probleme gelöst werden können und die Regierung ihre Haushaltsprobleme in den Griff bekommen kann, erforderlich. Dies gilt um so mehr, da im laufenden Jahr erstmals positive Kapitalzuflüsse zu verzeichnen waren und sich daraus neue Herausforderungen für die russische Wirtschaftspolitik ergeben. Der vorliegende Bericht beschäftigt sich daher mit der Frage, wie das Risiko, daß es zu einer Zahlungsbilanzkrise kommt und daß ausländisches Kapital ineffizient eingesetzt wird, durch geeignete geldpolitische Antworten und Reformen des Bankensystems minimiert werden kann. Darüber hinaus wird die Rolle des Insolvenzrechts für eine Verbesserung der ordnungspolitischen Rahmenbedingungen und der Beziehungen Rußlands zur EU für den Erfolg des Transformationsprozesses diskutiert.

Suggested Citation

  • Buch, Claudia M. & Heinrich, Ralph P. & Spinanger, Dean & Brücker, Herbert & Engerer, Hella & Lodahl, Maria & Schrettl, Wolfram & Schrooten, Mechthild & Gabrisch, Hubert & Linne, Thomas & Sigmund, Pet, 1997. "Die wirtschaftliche Lage Rußlands: Wirtschaftspolitik muß jetzt endlich Wachstumserfolge vorweisen. Elfter Bericht," Kiel Discussion Papers 308, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkdp:308
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