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Structural breaks and financial volatility: Lessons from BRIC countries

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  • Morales, Lucía
  • Gassie, Esmeralda

Abstract

Despite the fact that there is a substantial literature on the analysis of volatility spillovers between stock returns and domestic exchange rates, surprisingly, little empirical research has examined volatility spillovers between oil prices and emerging economies, where a clear gap of research have been found regarding to the BRIC financial markets and the effects of the 2007-2009 World economy crisis. This lack of research might appear as surprising given that energy markets are of particular interest as they are considered a fundamental reference for economic recovery and growth. Therefore, this work aims to address this gap on the literature by looking at the BRIC financial markets and their co-movements with regard to some energy markets (oil, natural gas and electricity) and also to the international pressures that may arise from fluctuations originated in the US stock markets. This research major findings show compelling evidence highlighting the weak integration levels that exist among the Chinese financial markets, energy markets and the US stock market. On the other hand, the Brazilian, Indian and Russian markets are found to be more sensitive to international shocks arisen from US markets and also to energy markets instability, especially with regard to oil market uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Morales, Lucía & Gassie, Esmeralda, 2011. "Structural breaks and financial volatility: Lessons from BRIC countries," IAMO Forum 2011: Will the "BRICs Decade" Continue? – Prospects for Trade and Growth 13, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iamo11:13
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    Cited by:

    1. Syriopoulos, Theodore & Makram, Beljid & Boubaker, Adel, 2015. "Stock market volatility spillovers and portfolio hedging: BRICS and the financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 7-18.
    2. Dakhlaoui, Imen & Aloui, Chaker, 2016. "The interactive relationship between the US economic policy uncertainty and BRIC stock markets," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 141-157.
    3. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2018. "Uncovering equity market contagion among BRICS countries: An application of the multivariate GARCH model," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 36-44.
    4. Lumengo Bonga-Bonga, 2017. "Assessing the readiness of the BRICS grouping for mutually beneficial financial integration," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 204-219, November.
    5. Ahmad, Wasim & Mishra, Anil V. & Daly, Kevin, 2018. "Heterogeneous dependence and dynamic hedging between sectors of BRIC and global markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 117-133.
    6. Davide De Gaetano, 2018. "Forecast Combinations for Structural Breaks in Volatility: Evidence from BRICS Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-13, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    BRIC; Energy Markets; GARCH; T-GARCH modeling; Volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F - International Economics
    • G - Financial Economics

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