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Consumer and asset prices: Some recent evidence

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  • Gerdesmeier, Dieter
  • Reimers, Hans-Eggert
  • Roffia, Barbara

Abstract

This paper models the relationship between consumer and asset prices (approximated by house prices, oil prices and the exchange rate) by means of a Markov Switching model (MS model). It can be shown that house prices appear to play a significant role in the determination of consumer prices in a high-inflation and a low-inflation regime, whereas oil prices and the exchange rate only unfold an impact in a high-inflation regime. Taken together, these results can be seen as being of help for the monetary policy decision-making process.

Suggested Citation

  • Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Reimers, Hans-Eggert & Roffia, Barbara, 2015. "Consumer and asset prices: Some recent evidence," Wismar Discussion Papers 01/2015, Hochschule Wismar, Wismar Business School.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:hswwdp:012015
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D13 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Production and Intrahouse Allocation
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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