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Financial dollarization in Russia: causes and consequences

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  • Ponomarenko, Alexey
  • Solovyeva, Alexandra
  • Vasilieva, Elena

Abstract

We review some aspects of financial dollarization in Russia, applying the main relevant theories to analyze the dynamics of several dollarization indicators. An econometric model of the short run dynamics of deposit and loan dollarization is estimated for the last decade. We find that ruble appreciation was the main driver of the de-dollarization that occurred then and of the later episode of renewed dollarization. We estimate the overall (and sector-al) currency mismatches of the Russian economy. The results show a gradual improvement of the net foreign currency position of the public sector, where we have seen significant accumulation of international reserves by the Bank of Russia and repayment of government debt. Evidence is also presented for the significant currency risk vulnerability of the nonbanking private sector. Several existing empirical studies are examined in order to assess the growth losses of the Russian economy following the crisis of 2008, which was linked with the financial dollarization.

Suggested Citation

  • Ponomarenko, Alexey & Solovyeva, Alexandra & Vasilieva, Elena, 2011. "Financial dollarization in Russia: causes and consequences," BOFIT Discussion Papers 36/2011, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofitp:bdp2011_036
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    Cited by:

    1. Nilgun Caglarirmak Uslu & Sevcan Kapkara, 2019. "The Determinants of Credit Dolarization: Turkish Case," Economics Literature, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 1(2), pages 148-167, December.
    2. Ramis Khabibullin & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2022. "An empirical behavioral model of household’s deposit dollarization," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(3), pages 827-847, July.
    3. Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2017. "Money-based underlying inflation measure for Russia: a structural dynamic factor model approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 441-457, September.
    4. Bitar, Joseph, 2021. "The unique dollarization case of Lebanon," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(2).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial dollarization; currency mismatch; balance sheet effects; Russia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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