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Aggregation Bias in Trade Elasticities: The Case of Macedonia

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  • Branimir Jovanovic

Abstract

This paper evaluates the bias which may occur when trade elasticities are estimated using data on aggregate trade, instead of using data on bilateral trade. The exercise is done on the case of Macedonia. Elasticities obtained from aggregate-trade data, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach, are compared with the elasticities obtained from bilateral-trade data, using dynamic heterogenous panels techniques. Results point out that the aggregation bias is sizeable and that relying on aggregate data can lead to wrong conclusions about the trade elasticities.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by FIW in its series FIW Working Paper series with number 106.

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Length: 38
Date of creation: Mar 2013
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Handle: RePEc:wsr:wpaper:y:2013:i:106

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Keywords: trade elasticities; aggregation bias; dynamic panel; heterogenous panel; ARDL; Macedonia;

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