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Demand and Supply Factors in the Determination of NIE Exports: A Simultaneous Error-Correction Model for Hong Kong Exports

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Author Info
Muscatelli, Vito Antonio
Srinivasan, T G
Vines, David

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Abstract

This paper considers the issue of whether a small developing economy such as Hong Kong faces a perfectly elastic demand for its exports of manufactured goods. We construct a simultaneous demand and supply system which is estimated using Full Information Maximum Likelihood methods, and which allows us to clearly identify demand and supply factors in determining export volumes and prices. Our empirical findings differ from previous studies conducted with this data set in that they suggest that even a small dynamic newly industrialized economy such as Hong Kong may not face infinitely elastic demand for its manufactured goods. We also advance some reasons to explain why the `small country assumption' may not be applicable in the case of most industrialized economies.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 671.

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Date of creation: Jun 1992
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:671

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Related research
Keywords: Demand and Supply Elasticities; Error-Correction Models; Hong Kong;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Country and Industry Studies of Trade
O53 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

Cited by:
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  1. Mody, Ashoka & Yilmaz, Kamil & DEC, 1994. "Is there persistence in the growth of manufactured exports? Evidence from newly industrializing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1276, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Saikat Sinha Roy, 2007. "Demand and Supply Factors in the Determination of India's Disaggragated Manufactured Exports: A Simultaneous Error-Correction Approach," Working Papers id:1151, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
  3. Tilak Abeysinghe & Keen Meng Choy, 2005. "Modelling Small Economy Exports: The Case of Singapore," SCAPE Policy Research Working Paper Series 0501, National University of Singapore, Department of Economics, SCAPE. [Downloadable!]
  4. Peter G. Warr & Frances J. Wollmer, 1996. "The International Demand for Thailand's Rice Exports," Departmental Working Papers 1996-10, Australian National University, Economics RSPAS. [Downloadable!]
  5. Kirsanova, Tatiana & Menzies, Gordon & Vines, David, 2007. "Stiglitz Versus the IMF on the Asian Debt Crisis: An Intertemporal Model with Real Exchange Rate Overshooting," CEPR Discussion Papers 6318, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Warr, Peter G. & Wollmer, Frances, 1996. "The Demand For Ldc Exports Of Primary Commodities: The Case Of The Philippines," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 40(01), April. [Downloadable!]
  7. Arslan Razmi, 2005. "Balance of Payments Constrained Growth Model: The Case of India," Working Papers 2005-05, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  8. Koi Nyen Wong & Tuck Cheong Tang, 2007. "Exchange Rate Variability And The Export Demand For Malaysia'S Semiconductors: An Empirical Study," Monash Economics Working Papers 13/07, Monash University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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