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FIW-Jahresgutachten UDPATE 2021: Aktualisierte Prognose zur Entwicklung der globalen und heimischen Außenwirtschaft

Author

Listed:
  • Roman Stöllinger
  • Robert Stehrer
  • Harald Oberhofer
  • Yvonne Wolfmayr

Abstract

Revidierte Daten für das Krisenjahr 2020 zeigen eine bessere Entwicklung als in den vorläufig publizierten Daten mit Stand vom Februar 2021. Der Warenhandel wird bereits bis zum Ende des Jahres 2021 das Vorkrisenniveau um 4% übertreffen, wohingegen der Dienstleistungshandel auch 2022 noch unterhalb des Niveaus vor der COVID-19-Pandemie liegen wird. Liefer- und Materialengpässe dämpfen jedoch die Außenhandelsentwicklung.

Suggested Citation

  • Roman Stöllinger & Robert Stehrer & Harald Oberhofer & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2021. "FIW-Jahresgutachten UDPATE 2021: Aktualisierte Prognose zur Entwicklung der globalen und heimischen Außenwirtschaft," FIW Annual Report on the Status of the Austrian External Sector series 004, FIW.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsr:fiwjag:y:2021:i:004
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Vasily Astrov & Roman Stöllinger & Robert Stehrer & Oliver Fritz & Harald Oberhofer & Thomas Url & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2020. "FIW-Jahresgutachten. Die österreichische Außenwirtschaft," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 65936, April.
    2. Elisabeth Christen & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2021. "Verzögerungen und starke Preissteigerungen im Containerfrachtverkehr – Bedeutung für den österreichischen Außenhandel," WIFO Research Briefs 7, WIFO.
    3. Werner Hölzl & Michael Klien & Agnes Kügler, 2021. "Erwartungen bezüglich Geschäftstätigkeit, Beeinträchtigungen und Liquidität in der vierten COVID-19-Welle. Ergebnisse der sechsten Sonderbefragung zur COVID-19-Krise im Rahmen des WIFO-Konjunkturtests," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 67941, April.
    4. Klaus S. Friesenbichler & Werner Hölzl, 2021. "Deutliche Erholung der Investitionen der Sachgütererzeugung von der COVID-19-Krise. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Frühjahr 2021," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 94(7), pages 503-512, July.
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    7. Marius Clemens & Simon Junker & Laura Pagenhardt, 2021. "Deutsche Wirtschaft windet sich nur langsam aus der Pandemie: Grundlinien der Wirtschaftsentwicklung im Herbst 2021," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 88(37), pages 616-629.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Außenwirtschaft; Prognose; Österreich; Handelspolitik;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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