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Instrumental Variable Estimation for Duration Data: A Reappraisal of the Illinois Reemployment Bonus Experiment

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  • G.E. Bijwaard

    (Erasmus University, SEOR)

Abstract

We propose an Instrumental Variable method for Generalised Accelerated Failure Time (GAFT) models that adjust for possible endogeneity of the intervention of interest, without suffering the problems of the intention-to-treat method. We develop an estimatiom procedure that collapses to the linear Rank Estimation procedure for GAFT models with only exogenous variables This is accomplished by using a model that transforms the duration such that for the population parameters, this transformed duration is independent of the instrument. The estimator is used to re-analyse data from the Illinois reemploymnet Bonus experiment

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Econometrics with number 0204001.

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Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: 08 Apr 2002
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpem:0204001

Note: Type of Document - Tex/PDF; prepared on IBM PC; pages: 35
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Web page: http://128.118.178.162

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Keywords: Duration analysis; Instrumental Variables; ALMP evaluation; endogenous variables;

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  1. Abbring, Jaap H. & Berg, Gerard J. van den & Ours, Jan C. van, 1996. "The effect of unemployment insurance sanctions on the transition rate from unemployment to employment," Serie Research Memoranda 0038, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
  2. Joshua Angrist & Alan Krueger, 1998. "Empirical Strategies in Labor Economics," Working papers 98-7, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
  3. Berg, G. van den & Klaauw, B. van der & Ours, J.C. van, 1998. "Punitive sanctions and the transition from welfare to work," Discussion Paper 1998-56, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  4. Govert Bijwaard & Geert Ridder, 1998. "Correcting for Selective Compliance in a Re-Employment Bonus Experiment," Economics Working Paper Archive 412, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
  5. Van den Berg, Gerard J., 2000. "Duration Models: Specification, Identification, and Multiple Durations," MPRA Paper 9446, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  6. Cees Gorter & Guyonne R. J. Kalb, 1996. "Estimating the Effect of Counseling and Monitoring the Unemployed Using a Job Search Model," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 31(3), pages 590-610.
  7. Ridder, Geert, 1990. "The Non-parametric Identification of Generalized Accelerated Failure-Time Models," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(2), pages 167-81, April.
  8. Geert Ridder & Tiemen Woutersen, 2001. "The Singularity of the Efficiency Bound of the Mixed Proportional Hazard Model," UWO Department of Economics Working Papers 20019, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics.
  9. Gerard J. van den Berg & Bas van der Klaauw & Jan C. van Ours, 1998. "Punitive Sanctions and the Transition Rate from Welfare to Work," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-076/3, Tinbergen Institute.
  10. Stephen A. Woodbury & Robert G. Spiegelman, . "Bonuses to Workers and Employers to Reduce unemployment: Randomized Trials in Illinois," Upjohn Working Papers and Journal Articles sawrgs1987, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.
  11. Moffitt, Robert, 1983. "An Economic Model of Welfare Stigma," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(5), pages 1023-35, December.
  12. Jaap H. Abbring & Gerard J. van den Berg, 2003. "The Nonparametric Identification of Treatment Effects in Duration Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(5), pages 1491-1517, 09.
  13. Meyer, Bruce D, 1996. "What Have We Learned from the Illinois Reemployment Bonus Experiment?," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 14(1), pages 26-51, January.
  14. Ham, John C & LaLonde, Robert J, 1996. "The Effect of Sample Selection and Initial Conditions in Duration Models: Evidence from Experimental Data on Training," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(1), pages 175-205, January.
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