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The Interaction of Welfare-Use and Employment Dynamics In Rural and Agricultural California Counties

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Listed:
  • Henry Brady
  • Mary H. Sprague
  • Fredric C. Gey
  • Michael L. Wiseman

Abstract

Using both monthly aggregate county-level data and monthly individual-level data on welfare participation in California from 1985 to 1997, we show that welfare use patterns in rural and agricultural counties differ from those in urban counties. We also explain variation in welfare dynamics between various types of counties, focusing on labor market structure. Our research combines several administrative data sets in novel ways that make it possible to describe county and individual-level welfare and employment dynamics. Our results indicate that the impact of the 1996 federal welfare reforms is likely to vary systematically by type of county according to their distinct welfare-use and employment patterns. As a result, policymakers may want to tailor welfare policies and implementation strategies to county conditions to increase the effectiveness of the new welfare legislation in facilitating exits from welfare to work.

Suggested Citation

  • Henry Brady & Mary H. Sprague & Fredric C. Gey & Michael L. Wiseman, 2000. "The Interaction of Welfare-Use and Employment Dynamics In Rural and Agricultural California Counties," JCPR Working Papers 201, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:wop:jopovw:201
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hilary Williamson Hoynes, 2000. "Local Labor Markets And Welfare Spells: Do Demand Conditions Matter?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(3), pages 351-368, August.
    2. O'Neill, June A & Bassi, Laurie J & Wolf, Douglas A, 1987. "The Duration of Welfare Spells," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(2), pages 241-248, May.
    3. Beck, Nathaniel & Katz, Jonathan N., 1995. "What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 89(3), pages 634-647, September.
    4. J. P. Ziliak & D. N. Figlio & E. E. Davis & L. S. Connolly, "undated". "Accounting for the Decline in AFDC Caseloads: Welfare Reform or Economic Growth?," Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers 1151-97, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty.
    5. Rebecca M. Blank, 2001. "What Causes Public Assistance Caseloads to Grow?," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 36(1), pages 85-118.
    6. Shirley L. Porterfield, 1998. "On the Precipice of Reform: Welfare Spell Durations for Rural, Female-Headed Families," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 80(5), pages 994-999.
    7. John M. Fitzgerald, 1995. "Local labor markets and local area effects on welfare duration," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(1), pages 43-67.
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